What Will Happen to Stellar (XLM) Price if Bitcoin (BTC) Surges to $100K?

Bitcoin's price is going up, getting closer to the $90,000 mark and trading around $85,000 now.

Bitcoin's price is going up, getting closer to the $90,000 mark and trading around $85,000 now. It started gaining steam after dropping to $78,000 over the past week, which has made people in the market more hopeful. This jump has also forced out traders who were betting against Bitcoin, leading to more than $800 million in short positions being liquidated.

On the other hand, Stellar (XLM) is currently trading at $0.32. The asset is showing strength as it breaks out of a falling wedge pattern, clearing key resistance levels. As usual, Bitcoin's next move will be crucial for XLM's trajectory.

To get an idea of what XLM's price could be if Bitcoin surges to $100,000, we asked ChatGPT to provide three possible price scenarios: pessimistic, realistic, and optimistic.

Pessimistic Scenario for XLM Price

Worst-case scenario, if Bitcoin reaches $100,000 but doesn't spark an altcoin rally, Stellar might only reach $0.60-$0.80, failing to break its 2018 all-time high of $0.93.

This could happen due to profit-taking, regulatory concerns, or competition from XRP, HBAR, and SUI. If the broader crypto market stalls, XLM might not gain much despite Bitcoin's rise.

History shows that not all altcoins benefit equally when Bitcoin surges. A lack of momentum could keep XLM's growth moderate, even in a bullish Bitcoin environment.

Realistic Scenario for XLM Price

In a realistic scenario, if Bitcoin surges past $100,000, the crypto market should see more liquidity. Stellar's price could then reach $1.00-$1.50, breaking its previous record as investors show renewed interest.

Institutional adoption plays a key role in this scenario. Stellar's involvement with the UN, World Bank, and BIS, along with potential CBDC issuance, could drive demand. Analysts anticipate that growing partnerships and increasing real-world use cases will support XLM's long-term value.

A market-wide altcoin rally, fueled by strong Bitcoin dominance and broader investor enthusiasm, would likely push XLM toward the $1 range, making this the most probable outcome if Bitcoin sustains momentum above $100K.

Optimistic Scenario for XLM Price

In a bullish outlook, if Bitcoin shoots beyond $150,000-$200,000 and triggers an altcoin season, XLM could grow exponentially to $3.00-$5.00.

For this to happen, several conditions would need to align. Stellar's adoption in global financial systems, its role in decentralized cross-border payments, and stronger institutional backing would need to drive demand significantly.

FOMO could drive XLM higher as investors look for undervalued coins with real use cases. New partnerships, enterprise adoption, or regulatory clarity could boost its value significantly.

Recent trends show that while February was tough for many altcoins, big investors have been eyeing HBAR, XLM, and SUI. Analysts think XLM's growth depends on both Bitcoin's performance and Stellar's adoption in financial systems.

If Bitcoin hits $100K, XLM's price movement will likely depend on whether it can attract institutional interest and ride the market sentiment. Investors will be watching to see if Stellar becomes a leading player in digital payments.