Fred Krueger: Bitcoin Is in the 'First Inning' of Its Journey, 'Massively High Returns' Coming in the Next 20-30 Years

Despite the meteoric rise of Bitcoin since its inception, a Wall Street mathematician insists that its journey is only just commencing.

Wall Street mathematician Fred Krueger is convinced that Bitcoin (BTC) is set for “massively high returns” over the next 20 to 30 years.

In a recent appearance on the Jamie Tree podcast, Krueger pointed out that despite Bitcoin’s meteoric rise since its inception, its journey is only just beginning. His optimism stems from an analysis of the current market penetration of Bitcoin among affluent investors, which stands at a mere 1%.

According to Krueger, the recent introduction of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has drastically changed the landscape of Bitcoin investment. These new financial instruments, such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, have eliminated the traditional barriers to entry that hindered institutional investors. Now, they can gain exposure to Bitcoin without the need to manage intricate self-custody solutions or navigate complex cryptocurrency exchanges.

Drawing comparisons to his own experience investing in tech companies, Krueger highlighted the potential for long-term growth. He recounted investing in Apple around the 2008 launch of the iPhone and anticipating a few times return on his investment. However, to his surprise, the stock went on to rise quadrupled twice and then soared 50 times higher. He sold his position, kicking himself for not maintaining a 10-year perspective.

The wealth gap in crypto allocation also presents an interesting perspective. Millionaires and billionaires currently allocate approximately 0.01% of their portfolios to Bitcoin. If this were to increase by a mere 2%, it would trigger an influx of capital into the cryptocurrency market on a scale never seen before.

Considering the vast sums of wealth that are present in conventional assets like bonds, real estate, and what Krueger terms “overpriced stocks,” this shift could have a substantial impact.

The introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs marks a critical juncture in the history of cryptocurrency investment. These financial products have democratized the process of investing in Bitcoin, rendering it as straightforward as purchasing conventional equities. These ETFs allow institutional investors who have been observing Bitcoin from the sidelines to obtain exposure in a manner that is both regulated and familiar.