Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2025: Can History Repeat Itself As The Altcoin Season Approaches?

It’s been an interesting past 24 hours for the cryptocurrency industry and market, with the United States president-elect Donald Trump launching his own meme coin “Official Trump” (TRUMP).

United States president-elect Donald Trump has launched his own meme coin, named “Official Trump” (TRUMP). The Solana-based meme coin has seen its value soar by over 500% in the past 24 hours, boasting a market cap of over $5 billion.

Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has lagged behind the market, failing to capitalize on its recent bullish momentum. As we approach the first quarter of 2025, what can investors expect from the “king of altcoins”?

In a recent post on the social media platform X, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez shared his insights on how the price of Ethereum might fare in Q1 2025.

Based on historical price data, Martinez suggests that the second-largest cryptocurrency might be poised for a strong upswing before the end of March 2025.

Historically, Ethereum price has almost always put up its strongest performance in the first three months of the year. Since 2017, the average return of the altcoin in Q1 stands at around 82.69%; this is followed by the second quarter’s average return of nearly 67%.

As per the price action data, the only two times Ethereum failed to register a positive performance were at the beginning of the 2018 and 2022 bear seasons. The price of ETH was down by almost 50% and 11% by the end of March in 2018 and 2022, respectively.

On the other hand, the altcoin recorded its best Q1 performance in 2017, skyrocketing by more than 500% in the first three months. This is followed by the 160% surge experienced at the beginning of 2021 — the final year in the four-year crypto cycle.

If history is anything to go by, the Ethereum price might be preparing for an upswing before the end of March 2025. In addition to its history of Q1 rallies, ETH might be in the final year of its cycle, which has often coincided with the strongest performances for the altcoin.

At the time of writing, the price of Ethereum is hovering just beneath the $3,300 level, reflecting an almost 6% decline in the past 24 hours. This single-day action has pushed the altcoin into a loss on the daily timeframe, with the ETH price down by more than 1%.

If the ETH price is going to continue its pattern of robust Q1 performances, a sustained close above the psychological $3,500 level might be the first step. Since mid-December, the cryptocurrency has mostly been consolidating beneath the $3,500 region.