Amidst the evolving bull cycle, crypto analyst Marcin Miłosierny posits that Bitcoin's market dynamics are shifting. The introduction of ETFs, with their significant buying power, is overshadowing the traditional supply squeeze effect of Bitcoin halvings. This calls for traders to re-evaluate their strategies, balancing the historical impact of halvings with the contemporary influence of ETFs on BTC availability and price.
ETFs Alter Bitcoin Market Dynamics Amidst Evolving Bull Cycle
By Marcin Miłosierny
Glassnode crypto analyst Marcin Miłosierny has discerned a paradigm shift in Bitcoin's market dynamics as the ongoing bull cycle unfolds. The advent of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is exerting a profound impact on the cryptocurrency, potentially altering the historical effects of Bitcoin halvings.
In a recent analysis, Miłosierny posits that the substantial buying power of ETFs will overshadow the supply squeeze typically associated with halvings. This dynamic, he contends, necessitates a recalibration of trading strategies to account for the interplay between halvings and ETFs on Bitcoin's availability and price.
Miłosierny underscores the growing influence of long-term holders (LTHs) in Bitcoin's supply dynamics. He recommends monitoring the Long-Term Holder Market Inflation Rate as a bellwether for market direction, enabling traders to anticipate shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly.
A notable development, according to Miłosierny, is Bitcoin's attainment of an all-time high (ATH) prior to the upcoming halving. This deviation from past cycles, where the ATH was typically reached post-halving, introduces a novel scenario.
Miłosierny observes that ETFs have had a stabilizing effect on market corrections, but cautions that a potential decline in ETF demand could amplify volatility. The recent rally, driven in part by ETFs, has propelled Bitcoin to a new ATH of $73,794 before encountering a retracement due to ETF outflows.
As of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,357, marking a 17% retracement from its ATH. Market participants anticipate a continuation of the rally post-halving, which is expected to exacerbate the supply squeeze for the leading cryptocurrency.
In conclusion, the introduction of ETFs has introduced novel dynamics to the Bitcoin market, requiring traders to reassess their strategies and account for the interplay between halvings and ETFs. By monitoring key indicators such as the Long-Term Holder Market Inflation Rate, traders can anticipate market shifts and adjust their strategies accordingly.
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