Dogecoin Knocks at Fib. 0.618 Resistance, Historical Context Points to Imminent Breakout

Dogecoin looks set to break out of a major Fibonacci retracement level on the weekly chart, which historically served as resistance.

Dogecoin has been trading below a key Fibonacci retracement level for almost three years now. But if history is any guide, then DOGE could be primed for a massive breakout soon.

Crypto Surf, a prominent market analyst, highlighted this potential in a recent analysis. His accompanying chart confirms that Dogecoin has repeatedly encountered resistance at this Fibonacci retracement since the November 2024 rally.

Dogecoin at Fib. 0.618 Resistance Zone

To provide some context, the market established this resistance during the 2021 bull run but failed to decisively breach it before the bullish momentum fizzled out at the time. Dogecoin initially pushed above the Fibonacci resistance, which sits at Fib. 0.618, in May 2021, extending its run to an all-time high of $0.74 at the time.

However, when a pullback to retest the resistance level occurred a week later, the leading meme coin failed to defend the breakout and maintain it as support, leading to a breach below it. This bearish turn of events resulted in the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement flipping back to resistance.

Since 2021, Dogecoin has continued to trade underneath the Fibonacci 0.618 level, which currently sits at $0.4766. Nonetheless, the Donald Trump-led market-wide rally in early November 2024 led to a push toward this level a month later.

Data shows Dogecoin surged 220% from a price of $0.1513 in November 2024 to a peak of $0.4843 in early December, essentially breaching the Fibonacci 0.618 resistance for the first time in over three years. Interestingly, another pullback occurred, resulting in a slump below the Fibonacci level, as bulls failed to defend the support.

Historical Context Points to Imminent Breakout

Despite this, analysts believe a successful breakout is on the horizon. Particularly, data from Crypto Surf’s weekly chart confirms that the Fibonacci 0.618 level has been a historical point of interest for DOGE.

For context, after the COVID-19 market crash, Dogecoin engineered a recovery push that helped it to knock at the Fib. 0.618 level, which aligned with the $0.0120 price at the time, in early January 2021. However, the Fibonacci resistance triggered a drop.

Notably, amid the drop, Dogecoin established support at the lower Fibonacci 1.618 level, which stood at $0.00726 at the time. After retesting this support, DOGE embarked on a second bull push, this time breaching the Fib. 0.618 level to hit its all-time high of $0.74 in May 2021. This marked a 6,066% rise from Fib. 0.618.

Interestingly, just like in the 2020/2021 cycle, Dogecoin has again found support at Fibonacci 1.618 (now $0.3193). If history repeats, a second bull push toward the Fib. 0.618 resistance could result in a breakout. “Fibs don’t lie,” Crypto Surf quipped.

Although the analyst failed to present any price targets, a 6,066% spike similar to the 2021 rally would lead to a price of $29. However, Dogecoin’s market cap at such a price level has left several proponents doubtful. Currently, Dogecoin changes hands at $0.3629, way above the $0.3193 support.

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