Dogecoin (DOGE) Encounters a Temporary Setback After Showing Signs of Renewed Upward Momentum

While Dogecoin struggles to reclaim its bullish momentum, important indicators are highlighting key price levels that could shape its near-term trajectory.

Dogecoin (DOGE) has encountered a temporary setback after showing signs of a renewed upward momentum. The meme-inspired cryptocurrency recently faced bearish pressure, bringing its price below the crucial $0.20 level.

However, despite this pullback, Dogecoin investors remain resilient, holding onto their assets and demonstrating strong confidence in the token’s potential. As the market at a critical juncture, key on-chain metrics are providing insights into DOGE’s next move.

Dogecoin Holders Stay Strong Despite Market Volatility

While Dogecoin struggles to reclaim its bullish momentum, important indicators are highlighting key price levels that could shape its near-term trajectory. According to the world-renowned blockchain analytics firm Glassnode, an emerging trend in Dogecoin’s supply metrics is providing crucial insights into how the meme coin is currently faring under market pressure.

A recent analysis by Glassnode, leveraging the Dogecoin UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) metric, has revealed that over 7% of DOGE’s supply is clustered at the $0.20 level. This makes it the third-largest cluster of supply after the $0.17 and $0.07 price points.

This concentration suggests that a significant number of investors have acquired DOGE at or near this level, highlighting its importance as a potential resistance point.

Glassnode’s data indicates that a substantial inflow of capital was observed at the $0.20 price level on January 22. However, it is believed that investors likely purchased DOGE at an earlier date, which subsequently increased their cost basis. This price mark is now expected to serve as a short-term resistance level, meaning DOGE could face difficulty surpassing it in the immediate future.

Key Price Levels and Potential Breakout Signals

Given the current market dynamics, if DOGE successfully breaks above the $0.20 resistance level, there could be a significant price increase, as there are relatively few supply clusters until the next key level at $0.31. The lack of major resistance between these levels suggests the potential for a sharp upward movement once Dogecoin builds enough buying pressure.

Glassnode’s analysis further suggests that a breakout may be imminent if trading volume increases, reducing the current downward pressure. If this happens, DOGE could experience a rapid price rally due to the absence of major resistance levels between its current price and the next URPD cluster at $0.31.

Long-Term Holders Indicate Strong Market Confidence

Another key metric, the Dogecoin HODL Waves, has provided deeper insights into investor sentiment. According to Glassnode, approximately 15% of DOGE’s total supply was last moved between 6 to 12 months ago. This pattern reveals that a significant number of investors purchased DOGE before the November-December 2023 rally and have opted to hold onto their investments instead of selling during the recent price fluctuations.

The increase in the 3-6M HODL Waves metric since early March further highlights that many investors have accumulated DOGE, particularly during its bounce from $0.32 to $0.41 in January 2024. These investors are now waiting for prices to recover, and some might sell at their break-even points, potentially introducing resistance ahead.

DOGE Futures and Open Interest Trends

Another crucial aspect of Dogecoin’s market outlook is its futures trading activity. Glassnode’s report highlights that DOGE’s Futures Open Interest (OI) has experienced a decline, currently standing at around $1 billion. This is significantly lower than the average open interest of over $3 billion recorded in November and December 2023.

Despite the decline in open interest, DOGE’s futures volume, measured by the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), is showing signs of recovery. This increase is primarily driven by spot trading rather than excessive leveraged positions. Moreover, DOGE’s funding rates have dropped close to neutral levels over the past two days, reinforcing the notion that the ongoing rally is primarily driven by organic market demand rather than speculative trading.

Technical Indicators Point to a Potential Recovery

Prominent crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade has identified an encouraging technical pattern for Dogecoin. According to their analysis, DOGE is in the process of breaking out from a three-month descending trendline. If this breakout is confirmed, it could signal a short-term rally for the cryptocurrency.

Technical indicators further suggest that DOGE’s price action is forming a pattern that resembles past breakout movements, where a period of consolidation is followed by a significant upward surge. If Dogecoin manages to maintain its current support levels and establish higher lows, it could be poised for another upward run in the coming weeks.

What Lies Ahead for Dogecoin

Dogecoin’s price action remains at a pivotal point, with key on-chain metrics indicating strong support from long-term holders and a potential breakout in the near future. While the short-term resistance at $0.20 could pose a challenge