Analytical platform CryptoQuant has determined the main reason for such a slowdown – declining stablecoin balances on Binance, especially USDT and USDC.
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The year 2025 has seen the cryptocurrency market struggling with severe liquidity problems, with Bitcoin and most top digital currencies failing to make any significant gains. Analytical platform CryptoQuant has set out to identify the main reason for such a slowdown.
According to the analysis, the main factor hindering the crypto market's recovery is the decreasing stablecoin balances on Binance, especially USDT and USDC. These stablecoins are used to purchase cryptocurrencies, and their depletion indicates a decline in demand for digital assets.
"Lower reserve ratio means decreased purchasing power that in turn means that the amount of fresh money coming into the market will be limited. This decrease occurred at the same time, as the Bitcoin price continues to stagnate near its resistance levels furthering the idea that a lack of liquidity limits price action. If these stablecoins are not streaming in, the rest of the market may find it difficult to sustain the kind of recovery they are now experiencing.”
Over the past few months, Binance has been reducing its USDT and USDC reserves. Lower reserves of such stablecoins mean that there is less capital available in the direct purchase of cryptocurrencies, hence, lower overall market demand. Indeed, most investors and traders use the liquidity in the stablecoins to fund large transactions and to move prices. As reserves decline, the market becomes less active, which negatively affects Bitcoin and altcoins to achieve significant gains.
This is in line with the apprehensive mood of investors that was evident during the early part of 2025. Increased macroeconomic risk and political volatility have, however, made most multinational companies cautious about large investments.
Most of the traders refrain from making a large trade because most players are still in the wait-and-see mode due to lack of directional certainty and the emergence of liquidity. This is what has led to a range-bound market for crypto, with a shuttling of prices trapped in set patterns.
If the downtrend in stablecoin persists, monetary constrains may be worse, putting a cap on any potential recovery of the market. Therefore, Bitcoins and other leading cryptocurrencies may take more time to enter a new ranging market. However, more reserves may imply that the trend may be reversed tones, thus, may give a signal of the flow of capital in the market. Investors and analysts pay special attention to these reserves that signal shifts in investor demand or buying pressure.
The analysis also indicates that liquidity in stablecoins is one of the most crucial factors affecting the market. This simply means that whether the market is going to remain stagnant or experience a breakout strongly depends on the liquidity. Stablecoins and chubby are now interesting to traders and investors as closely as the metric of their reserves. The next major movement in the crypto sector might be dictated by the developments in the coming weeks.
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