Bitcoin’s Potential $150K Rally

Bitcoin remains enclosed in a massive consolidation zone, now extending for 38 days. This sideways movement has been prolonged and is seen by many

Bitcoin’s price has remained largely unchanged over the past few days, continuing to trade within a narrow range. After forming a local top at around $104,000 on March 28, BTC price dropped to a low of $89,000 on April 11. Since then, Bitcoin has been consolidating, forming higher lows and lower highs.

Bitcoin price dropped below $92,000 on May 12 and quickly recovered, forming a bullish engulfing candle on the 15-minute chart. This signaled a potential bullish reversal from the lower support level. Now, BTC price attempts to rally once more towards the upper resistance at $94,200.

Bitcoin price now trades at a premium on Coinbase, indicating a bullish market structure. However, the Shiller CAPE shows extreme fear in the market, presenting an opportunity to buy BTC at a lower price before the next bullish leg.

Bitcoin’s price has been largely affected by the CME gap, which currently stands at around $94,200. These gaps tend to get filled through either an upward or downward price movement. This technicality could be guiding Bitcoin’s price movement in the short term, either pushing it up or pulling it back for a while longer. Traders follow these levels closely as they can hint at the next directional move in the price.

Despite the market consolidation seen in recent months, BTC continues to be in a long-term bull trend. On the MVRV Z-score, BTC is still far from the blow-off top stage, suggesting that the current bull market is not done yet with its growth.

Historically, Bitcoin’s price tends to rally after the Christmas period, with many analysts anticipating another leg up in early 2025.