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Amid cooling enthusiasm, Bitcoin traders are retreating from bullish bets as key drivers, including robust inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs and the Bitcoin halving event, lose momentum. The negative Bitcoin funding rate reflects decreased demand, and analysts point to waning inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs and declining open interest in Bitcoin futures. With tensions in the Middle East and anticipated delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts contributing to risk aversion, the crypto market awaits the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in Hong Kong on April 30.
Waning Sentiment Dampens Bitcoin Market Enthusiasm
A recent Bloomberg News analysis reveals a notable shift in sentiment among Bitcoin traders, indicating a pullback from bullish positions. This change coincides with the fading momentum of two key factors that have previously fueled cryptocurrency's ascent.
Cooling Demand and Stagnant Supply
The Bitcoin funding rate, a measure of the premium paid by traders to maintain open long positions in futures markets, has plunged into negative territory, marking the first such occurrence since October 2023. This signals a reduction in demand for Bitcoin after a period of record highs following the launch of ten spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States in January.
In addition, the long-anticipated Bitcoin halving event, which took place last week and reduces the supply of new coins by half, has had a muted impact on the cryptocurrency's price.
Heightened Uncertainty and Reduced Risk Appetite
Bloomberg attributes the waning enthusiasm for Bitcoin to growing risk aversion among investors. Tensions in the Middle East and anticipated delays in Federal Reserve rate cuts are cited as factors contributing to this shift. Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, notes that the negative funding rate reflects a diminished desire among traders to initiate long positions.
Declining ETF Inflows and Institutional Interest
The article highlights a decrease in daily inflows into US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs. Bloomberg's data indicates a net inflow of $170 million this month, significantly lower than the $4 billion garnered during the same period in March.
Furthermore, open interest in Bitcoin futures at the CME Group has declined by 18% from its peak, suggesting reduced interest in crypto-related trading and hedging among US institutions.
Attention Turns to Hong Kong
As the cryptocurrency market searches for new catalysts, the focus shifts to Hong Kong, which is preparing to launch spot Bitcoin ETFs and spot Ethereum ETFs on April 30. However, it remains uncertain whether these new products will replicate the significant demand witnessed in the United States.
Conclusion
The recent downturn in Bitcoin market sentiment underscores the volatility and risk associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. The factors that have traditionally driven Bitcoin's upward trajectory, such as positive inflows into ETFs and supply reductions, are showing signs of weakness. As geopolitical and economic uncertainties continue to weigh on the global financial landscape, investors should proceed with caution when considering cryptocurrency investments.
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