Is Bitcoin's Correction Poised to Continue?
The cryptocurrency landscape has been abuzz with Bitcoin's recent price gyrations. After reaching an all-time high of $73,750, BTC has shed over 17.5%, seeking solace at $60,000. As the digital asset grapples to regain its footing from this psychological level, market observers anticipate further downward pressure in the coming week.
Will Demand at $60K Cushion the Fall?
Bitcoin's rollercoaster ride in March has been a tale of two halves. The first half sparked optimism with record highs, while the latter half has hinted at a substantial correction. Currently trading at $65,115, BTC has found support at the confluence of $60,000 and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
While this newfound support provides a lifeline for buyers seeking a recovery, the increasing outflow from Bitcoin ETFs is exacerbating supply pressure. On March 22, Bitcoin spot ETFs witnessed a total net outflow of $51.6 million, with Grayscale's GBTC experiencing a significant single-day net outflow of $169 million.
If this supply pressure persists, BTC could breach the $60,000 mark and seek solace at the next support level of $56,250, marking the 50% retracement level. This retracement phase is considered healthy and allows for the replenishment of bullish momentum.
However, if buyers can maintain control above these crucial support levels, BTC could rebound with vigor in the coming weeks, setting its sights on surpassing the $73,750 peak.
Dormant Bitcoin Tokens Awaken, Sparking Volatility
Bitcoin's trading dynamics have recently undergone a significant shift. A notable activation of dormant Bitcoin tokens has been observed, marking the largest such movement in the past two years. This indicator is widely regarded as a harbinger of impending market fluctuations, as long-dormant coins can disrupt the market's supply-demand balance and trigger increased trading volatility.
The uncertain price behavior often invites a bearish perspective and could lead to Bitcoin correcting below $56,250. Losing this support could signal an extended correction or sideways trading for the coming month.
Technical Indicators Offer Insights
- Exponential Moving Average (EMA): BTC's price remains above both the 100-day and 200-day EMA, suggesting that the long-term trend remains bullish.
- Vortex Indicator: A bearish crossover between the VI+ (blue) and VI- (pink) slopes indicates that sellers are gaining momentum in the market.
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