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Cryptocurrency News Articles

Bitcoin Consolidates Amidst Bull and Bear Battle, Potential Breakouts Eyeing $73K and $60K

Apr 06, 2024 at 01:17 am

Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating near $69,000, reflecting a balance between bulls and bears. The symmetrical triangle pattern suggests a potential breakout in either direction. However, Bitcoin has historically experienced shallow pullbacks during bull markets, indicating a bullish bias. Support levels for BTC/USDT include $60,000 and $54,298, while resistance lies at $73,777 and $80,000.

Bitcoin Consolidates Amidst Bull and Bear Battle, Potential Breakouts Eyeing $73K and $60K

Bitcoin Consolidation: Analyzing Price Action and Potential Breakout Scenarios

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), has been navigating a crucial phase characterized by a prolonged battle between bulls and bears near the $69,000 mark. Independent trader and analyst Daan Crypto Trades has observed that Bitcoin has been hovering around its 2021 cycle high for approximately four weeks. Historically, Bitcoin has exhibited a pattern of consolidating for 4-8 weeks near cycle highs before resuming its price trajectory.

Despite the range-bound trading action, which can be frustrating for traders, the shallow pullbacks have been interpreted as a positive sign. Checkmate, the pseudonymous lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode, highlighted that during the previous bull market cycle from 2019 to late 2021, Bitcoin experienced two significant corrections exceeding 50%. However, the pullbacks witnessed during the current bull phase have been considerably milder, with the most recent 20% drawdown occurring in September 2021.

The surge in purchasing activity on spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is believed to have played a role in limiting downside risks during the current cycle. Another factor potentially contributing to the shallow pullbacks is the anticipation of Bitcoin extending its bull market after the upcoming Bitcoin halving event.

To assess the potential direction of Bitcoin's current consolidation, a technical analysis of its price chart is warranted. Bitcoin has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating an indecisive balance between buyers and sellers. While the symmetrical triangle typically functions as a continuation pattern, it occasionally acts as a reversal setup.

The flat 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $67,750 and the neutral RSI near the midpoint do not provide a clear advantage to either bulls or bears. A price decline and break below the triangle would suggest the onset of a more pronounced correction, potentially leading to a drop towards $60,000 and eventually the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $54,298.

Conversely, a price upturn and breakout above the triangle would indicate that bulls have absorbed supply, increasing the likelihood of a resumption in the uptrend. In such a scenario, Bitcoin could rise towards $73,777 and subsequently to $80,000.

Ether: Facing Technical Resistance and Potential Downward Trend

Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has been trading below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3,434 for the past three days, suggesting a lack of robust demand at these levels. The moving averages are approaching a bearish crossover, and the RSI is within the negative zone, indicating an advantage for sellers.

Strong support lies at $3,056, but a breach below this level could trigger a decline in ETH towards $2,700. Alternatively, a robust rebound from $3,056 would signify aggressive buying on price dips, potentially leading to a consolidation period between $3,056 and $3,678. A rise above $3,678 would signal the return of bullish momentum.

BNB: Symmetrical Triangle Formation Highlights Indecision

BNB, the native token of the Binance ecosystem, has been oscillating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating uncertainty between buyers and sellers. Predicting the direction of a breakout from a triangle pattern is challenging, warranting caution.

If BNB bounces off its 20-day EMA at $565 and breaks above the triangle, it would suggest a resumption of the uptrend. The BNB/USDT pair could climb to $692 and potentially reach the pattern target of $795.

However, if BNB falls below the triangle, the advantage would shift to the bears, potentially triggering a decline towards $460 and ultimately the pattern target of $395.

Solana: Profit-Booking Triggers Near-Term Correction

Solana (SOL) has slipped below its 20-day EMA at $181, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders. The SOL/USDT pair could retreat to its robust support at $162. A strong rebound from this level and a rise above the 20-day EMA would suggest a potential range-bound movement between $162 and $205.

In contrast, a continued downward trajectory and breach below $162 would complete a bearish double-top pattern. While there is minor support at the 50-day SMA ($152), it may not withstand selling pressure, leading to a potential decline towards $126.

XRP: Struggles to Regain Momentum Amidst Bearish Dominance

XRP has fallen below its uptrend line, and bears have successfully defended this level, indicating selling at every minor rally. The declining 20-day EMA at $0.61 and the negative RSI suggest sellers maintain an advantage.

A price drop below $0.56 could send XRP towards $0.52 and even $0.48. Conversely, a price recovery and rise above the 20-day EMA would clear the path for a potential rally towards $0.69. However, this level is likely to present significant resistance, and overcoming it could lead to a further climb to $0.74.

Dogecoin: Profit-Taking and Overhead Resistance Weighs Down

Dogecoin (DOGE) has broken below its 20-day EMA at $0.18, and bears have thwarted attempts by bulls to push the price back above this level. Sellers aim to push the price down to the 50-day SMA at $0.15, an important support level. A break below this level could exacerbate selling pressure and trigger a further decline towards $0.12.

To regain control, bulls need to swiftly propel the price above $0.19, potentially leading to a rally towards the overhead resistance at $0.23.

Cardano: Lower Price Support Tested, Upside Rally Faces Resistance

Cardano (ADA) bulls are struggling to defend the $0.57 level, indicating a lack of demand at current prices. A drop below $0.57 would complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, targeting $0.33. However, bulls are likely to make an effort to arrest this decline at the strong support level of $0.46.

Alternatively, a price reversal from $0.57 would signal solid buying at lower levels, potentially leading to a rally towards $0.68, where bears are anticipated to mount strong resistance.

Avalanche: Bears Maintain Control Amidst Downtrend

Avalanche (AVAX) has slipped below its 50-day SMA at $47, indicating bearish dominance. Bulls attempted to push the price back above this level on April 4th but failed, increasing the likelihood of a decline towards $42, an important support level that bulls are expected to defend. Recovery attempts may encounter selling at the moving averages.

Buyers must drive the price and maintain it above the downtrend line to suggest a potential end to the correction. The AVAX/USDT pair could then attempt a rally towards $60 and subsequently $65.

Toncoin: Bounce from Support Level Targets Resistance

Toncoin's rebound off its 20-day EMA at $4.73 has reached the downtrend line, a critical level to monitor. A price rise above this line would suggest a potential end to the correction, and the TON/USDT pair could retest the resistance at $5.69. Fierce resistance is expected at this level, as a breakout could trigger a surge towards $7.09.

Conversely, a sharp reversal from $5.69 would indicate persistent bearish sentiment at higher levels, potentially keeping the pair range-bound between $5.69 and $4.72 for some time.

Shiba Inu: Bulls and Bears Battle for Control

Bulls are attempting to push Shiba Inu (SHIB) back above its 20-day EMA at $0.000028, but bears remain persistent. The flat 20-day EMA and neutral RSI do not provide a clear edge to either side. A break and close below the 50-day SMA at $0.000024 could intensify selling pressure and lead to a decline towards $0.000017.

On the upside, bulls require a strong push and sustained price movement above the downtrend line to indicate a possible end to the corrective phase. SHIB could then rise towards $0.000033 and later face significant overhead resistance at $0.000039.

It is crucial to note that this analysis does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Cryptocurrency investments entail significant risks, and traders should conduct thorough research before making any decisions.

Disclaimer:info@kdj.com

The information provided is not trading advice. kdj.com does not assume any responsibility for any investments made based on the information provided in this article. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and it is highly recommended that you invest with caution after thorough research!

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