Bitcoin BTC/USD Is Navigating A Period Of Guarded Optimism, Promises Made By The New Presidential Administration

Bitcoin experienced a significant price surge in 2024, reaching an all-time high of $75,000 in the first quarter after the launch of Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTCUSD) is experiencing a period of guarded optimism, buoyed by institutional inflows into newly approved ETFs and the promises made by the new presidential administration, according to a new report from Messari.

Bitcoin’s Future Trajectory: The report suggests that the future trajectory of Bitcoin will depend on whether the administration can convert campaign rhetoric into tangible policy outcomes.

Bitcoin experienced a substantial price surge in 2024, reaching an all-time high of $75,000 in the first quarter following the launch of Bitcoin ETFs. Institutions were net buyers of Bitcoin throughout the year, with Grayscale's (NASDAQ:GBTC) outflows decreasing significantly and Blackrock (NYSE:BLK)'s IBIT emerging as the largest net buyer.

ETF issuers now hold over 1.1 million BTC, with Blackrock and Grayscale holding the majority.

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) has continued to actively invest in Bitcoin, with total holdings now exceeding 420,000 BTC after a recent purchase of $2.1 billion. The company intends to raise a further $42 billion to fund additional purchases over the next three years.

A New President, A New Hope: The election of a new president who has expressed positive sentiments towards crypto has created a hopeful environment for the sector. Some of his stated promises include firing SEC commissioner Gary Gensler, introducing a national strategic Bitcoin reserve, forming a Bitcoin and crypto presidential council, and ensuring Bitcoin mining in the U.S.

While a federal strategic Bitcoin reserve is unlikely, the report emphasizes that achieving some of the higher-probability policy items could sustain the current market enthusiasm.

The report also highlights the introduction of Ordinals and Runes on the Bitcoin network, enabling NFTs and fungible tokens and bringing new functionality to the blockchain.

Bitcoin's staking protocol Babylon is also a new development, allowing holders to stake their assets to secure other networks.

However, the report notes that the Bitcoin network was not designed for maximum programmability, but a low penetration of Bitcoin utility could still exceed $30 billion in market value.

Messari projects that institutional ETF inflows will continue to be a primary driver of price action, which could lead to more stable, less volatile price movements.

The report also acknowledges that the success of new developments like Runes, Ordinals, and Bitcoin staking will depend on user adoption and the continued improvement of the user experience.