Bitcoin (BTC) Price Could Rise to $200K This Cycle, Says Cowen

The start of the second quarter has given some hope to the crypto assets with Bitcoin trading at the range of $84K to $85K, the market looks quite stable despite the looming dangers of Trump's Tariff decisions, inflation, global economic slowdown, and interest rate concerns.

The start of the second quarter has given some hope to the crypto assets with Bitcoin trading at the range of $84K to $85K, the market looks quite stable despite the looming dangers of Trump’s Tariff decisions, inflation, global economic slowdown, and interest rate concerns.

Bitcoin’s recent price swings might look unstable, but it’s all part of the larger trend, which still points toward a positive long-term outlook.

How High Can BTC Price Go This Cycle?

In a new podcast interview with host Austin Arnold on the Altcoin Daily channel, Cowen explains that the real worry would begin only if Bitcoin drops below its 2024 high of $72K and stays there. That could mean the current bull run has already ended earlier than expected, which is something analysts call a “left translated cycle.” But right now, there’s no clear sign that this is happening.

Cowen believes the current market may follow a “right-translated cycle,” a pattern where Bitcoin peaks later in the cycle rather than early on. If that plays out, he expects Bitcoin to climb anywhere from $120,000 to $150,000, with a stretch target of $200,000 if conditions align perfectly. However, he ruled out the possibility of BTC hitting $300,000 in this cycle, though he’s confident it will reach that mark in the future.

However, he also warns that time is limited, as 2026 is expected to be a tough year for crypto markets, repeating what happened in 2018 and 2022. If a deeper pullback happens, Cowan advises against panic selling. Instead, he suggests that the market would likely produce a lower high later in the year, potentially allowing investors to exit or reposition.

According to Cowan, small dips like these are normal and don’t automatically mean the market is in trouble, unless the drop lasts too long and turns into a full-blown downtrend.

Ethereum and Cardano Price Forecast

Apart from Bitcoin, Cowen believes that Ethereum still has hope, but it’s going through a painful period, yet a necessary correction. He thinks ETH is “going home” to its long-term fair value, just like its past cycles, which are mainly linked with the Fed’s policy. He sees a possible rebound of $1200-$1600, once the monetary policies stabilize.

On the other side, for Cardano, he is not bullish in the short term, as he can see that Cardano is repeating last year’s pattern of slow decline against Bitcoin, and it may not rise until late 2025, unless market condition changes.

FAQs

While not this cycle, Cowen believes BTC could reach $300K or more by 2030 as adoption and market maturity grow.

As the altcoin season begins, the short-term gains make Ethereum a lucrative buying option. However, the long-term promises of this programmable blockchain make it a viable long-term crypto investment.

Cardano is not dead, as it is witnessing major developmental upgrades, which could boost ADA’s price in the near future.