Bitcoin's price took a hit recently, triggering speculation about whether the market has reached its peak. Lookonchain's latest analysis examined five
Bitcoin’s recent price pullback has sparked speculation among traders and investors alike, with many wondering whether the market has finally reached its peak. To assess BTC’s current standing in the market, let’s examine five key indicators.
The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, a long-term valuation tool, remains bullish. According to the updated Rainbow2023 Chart, BTC’s projected peak for this cycle is above $250,000. If the chart holds true, the recent pullback might be just a bump on the road to higher prices.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 75.56 at present. As much as this reveals BTC to be in overbought, its value can go even higher in terms of its RSI level before a real top can occur, according to past BTC cycles, with values over 85 preceding sharp downturns in BTC.
The 200-week moving average Heatmap stays in the blue zone, and BTC is a long, long way off its all-time high. And, in terms of Cumulative Value Coin Days Destroyed (CVDD), BTC’s high isn’t in yet, nor is it in a state of extreme overextension, a position it attains in its history when BTC actually reaches its high mark.
Another key indicator, 2-Year MA Multiplier, shows BTC trading between critical valuation bands. It hasn’t yet touched its uppermost red band, a level in the past that marked a bull cycle high. That means that the market hasn’t yet touched its full expansion potential, with a strong reversal yet to follow.
Finally, regarding the short-term price movements, analyst Mags pointed out that that BTC has experienced six cycles in the past where it experienced a breakout followed by consolidation within a price channel. In each of the six instances, BTC managed to rally to new highs in the long run. If this pattern continues to hold, then the present pullback could be setting up BTC for another leg up.
Overall, while short-term rebalancing is taking place, the long-term trends are positive for BTC. With a combination of strong technical statistics, long-term trends, and present cycles in the marketplace, Bitcoin’s bull run isn’t over yet.
Investors watching for such indications can view the present dip not as a sign of an impending bust but as a buying opportunity. BTC, in its past performance, can have future all-time highs in store for future weeks.
