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Cryptocurrency News Articles

Bitcoin (BTC) Open Interest Has Dropped 35% from Its All-Time High, Meaning Less Hedging and Speculative Trading.

Mar 22, 2025 at 09:15 am

Open interest, which tracks the total number of outstanding derivative contracts at any time, declined from $57 billion when BTC hit its ATH to $24.5 billion today. This means that market movers are closing out uncertainty or unwinding leverage.

Bitcoin (BTC) Open Interest Has Dropped 35% from Its All-Time High, Meaning Less Hedging and Speculative Trading.

Open interest in Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 35% from its all-time high, signaling less hedging and speculative trading, according to on-chain data from Glassnode.

At its peak, open interest, which tracks the total number of outstanding derivative contracts at any time, reached $57 billion when BTC hit its all-time high of over $109,000 in January. However, this figure has since decreased significantly, and at present, stands at $24.5 billion.

This decline in open interest suggests that market movers are closing out uncertainty or unwinding leverage, which had built up during BTC's rapid ascent earlier this year.

As Bitcoin attempts to regain momentum following recent selling pressure, it has encountered resistance at the $90,000 level, which it failed to break through despite multiple tries over the last two weeks.

This failure to break the resistance level has put downward pressure on BTC, which could be contributing to the decline in open interest and other on-chain liquidity measures.

On-chain data also shows that the unwinding of long-side bias from cash-and-carry trade, where traders make money on the difference between spot and futures prices, has also contributed to the downward pressure on BTC.

Furthermore, some CME futures contracts are terminating, and there is pressure on Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which are recording outflows.

Another interesting shift is in BTC's "Hot Supply," which refers to coins held for one week or less. Over the last three months, this hot supply has dropped drastically from 5.9% of Bitcoin's circulating supply to a mere 2.8%.

This decrease of over 50% suggests that fewer newly acquired Bitcoins are being actively traded, reducing market liquidity and potentially signaling reduced demand for the cryptocurrency.

Additionally, Bitcoin exchange inflows have also declined dramatically, going from 58,600 BTC / day to 26,900 BTC / day, a 54% decrease. While this may signal less selling pressure as fewer coins are being sent to exchanges to be traded, it also indicates weaker demand.

BTC is currently trading at $84,001, holding above the important support at $85,000, which is crucial for the continuation of the Bitcoin uptrend, according to industry analyst "Unknown Trader."

Above this level, the asset is still in an uptrend, having closed above the 200-day moving average, a historically bullish indicator for long-term price momentum, and recently broke above the Fib level.

However, if BTC falls below $85,000, it could open the door for further declines to the next support at $78,000.

BTC is back up to the retest of around $85,000 again. If it soars, analysts anticipate a move to the resistance zone of $90,500-$92,441. Yet, this solid rejection level can keep fine-tuning a swoop back up until another retest at $85,000.

CryptoQuant analyst Woominkyu, for his part, reported potential institutional accumulation. He pointed out how the 30-day EMA of the Coinbase Premium Index is struggling to cross above the one-hundred-day EMA.

This crossover happened before BTC's price rallies typically; therefore, institutional players could be accumulating Bitcoin. As institutional demand continues to pour in, BTC's price could still rise, prolonging this bull market instead of signaling its top.

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Other articles published on Mar 25, 2025