新的XRP交易所交易资金可能会在第一周吸引8亿美元

这些是加密市场观察家（例如摩根大通）做出的一些预测

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has acknowledged several applications for exchange-traded funds tracking XRP from asset managers like Bitwise, 21Shares, and Grayscale.

美国证券交易委员会已经确认了来自Bitwise，21shares和Grayscale的资产经理的交易所交易资金的几项申请。

The regulator’s recognition comes after a period of rejecting new crypto ETF applications and signals that things may be changing.

监管机构的认可是在一段时间拒绝新的加密ETF应用程序并表示情况可能在发生变化之后的一段时间。

Previously, the SEC used its authority to quickly shut down any applications for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, and told applicants to withdraw them almost as soon as they filed them.

以前，SEC利用其权力迅速关闭了现场比特币和以太坊ETF的任何申请，并告诉申请人在提交时几乎将其撤回。

But the agency has until mid-October to make its final decision on these applications.

但是该机构必须在10月中旬之前就这些申请做出最终决定。

Here’s what experts from JPMorgan, Bitwise, and others say to expect.

这是JPMorgan，Bitwise和其他人所说的期望的专家。

If new XRP ETFs manage to lure over $85 million in their first week, that would be “a relative success,” Bloomberg Intelligence ETF Analyst James Seyffart said.

彭博情报ETF分析师James Seyffart说，如果新的XRP ETF在其第一周诱使超过8500万美元，那将是“相对成功”。

The spot market for XRP is about 7.5% the size of Bitcoin, Seyffart said.

Seyffart说，XRP的现货市场约为比特币的7.5％。

“If the XRP ETF’s are able to see volume in flows that are near or around 7.5% or more of the Bitcoin ETFs’ launch numbers, I would consider them to be a relative success,” he said. “Bitcoin ETFs saw about $14 billion in trading volume and $1.13 billion in flows.”

他说：“如果XRP ETF能够在比特币ETF的发射号码接近或更多的7.5％或以上的流量中看到音量，我认为它们是相对成功的。” “比特币ETF的交易量约为140亿美元，流量为11.3亿美元。”

Donald Trump has pledged to relax crypto laws and to stop the government’s crackdown on digital assets.

唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）已承诺放松加密法律，并阻止政府对数字资产的镇压。

Since Trump’s inauguration, that has translated to him issuing executive orders, making pro-crypto appointments, and the SEC halting some of its cases against industry players.

自从特朗普就职典礼以来，这转化为他发出执行命令，执行任命任命，以及SEC停止对行业参与者的一些案件。

If that translates to the markets watchdog dropping its long-running case against Ripple, then that will be another bullish sign for crypto, Seyffart said.

Seyffart说，如果这转化为市场看门狗对Ripple的长期案件，那将是Crypto的另一个看涨标志。

“The positive momentum in lawsuits with Coinbase and Robinhood are probably a good sign there will be some sort of solution in the coming months,” said Seyffart.

Seyffart说：“与共同基础和罗比林的诉讼中的积极势头可能是一个好兆头，在接下来的几个月中，将会有某种解决方案。”

Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at asset manager Bitwise, is bullish on the prospects of XRP ETFs getting the nod from the SEC.

资产管理经理Bitwise首席投资官Matt Hougan对XRP ETF的前景看涨。

Speaking to CNBC, Hougan steered clear of discussing Bitwise’s application directly, but maintained that “there’s substantial demand for an XRP ETF.”

在接受CNBC的讲话时，Hougan避免了直接讨论Bitwise的应用，但坚持认为“对XRP ETF有很大的需求。”

Without referencing specific numbers, Hougan highlighted the strong community of Ripple and XRP, and the lighter-touch approach to crypto that Washington DC has taken in the wake of Trump’s re-election.

在没有提及具体数字的情况下，霍根强调了Ripple和XRP的强大社区，以及在特朗普连任后，华盛顿特区采取的对加密货币的较轻方法。

In January, JPMorgan’s analysts predicted that up to $8 billion will flow towards XRP ETFs during their first year.

一月份，摩根大通的分析师预测，在第一年，最高80亿美元将流向XRP ETF。

However, they remained bearish on altcoin ETFs in general.

但是，它们一般而言仍然是altcoin eTF的看跌。

“We don’t see investor interest or demand great enough to make these future altcoin ETP launches meaningful for the cryptocurrency ecosystem,” JPMorgan analysts said.

摩根大通分析师说：“我们认为投资者的兴趣或需求不足以使这些未来的Altcoin ETP对加密货币生态系统有意义。”

Luca Sorlini, head of products at virtual asset service provider Northstake, expected new XRP ETFs to attract between $400 million and $800 million in their first week of trading.

虚拟资产服务提供商Northstake产品负责人Luca Sorlini预计新的XRP ETF将在交易的第一周吸引4亿至8亿美元。

He extrapolated those figures from looking at the flows seen in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

他从观察点比特币和以太坊ETF中看到的流程中推断出那些数字。

Although, Sorlini did caveat that those figures would rely on how interested institutions are in the new funds, how many funds there are, and what the overall market conditions at launch are.

虽然，索利尼（Sorlini）确实警告说，这些数字将依靠机构对新资金的兴趣感，有多少资金以及发射的整体市场状况。

If an XRP ETF is approved, market analysts expect the crypto’s price to surge.

如果批准XRP ETF，市场分析师预计加密货币的价格会上涨。

“This is likely to result in a surge in price if prior examples of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approvals are to be taken into account,” said Jacob Joseph, senior research analyst at crypto data provider CCData.

Crypto数据提供商CCDATA高级研究分析师Jacob Joseph说：“如果要考虑比特币和以太坊ETF批准的示例，这可能会导致价格上涨。”

Bitcoin soared 150% over the course of last year after the SEC approved Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024.

在2024年1月SEC批准比特币ETF之后，去年比特币飙升了150％。