包装工队应该放弃他们的开球策略

这在当时是有道理的。包装工队推迟开球是在感恩节那天走进真正的狮子队的巢穴时发生的。马特·拉弗勒尔决定违背类型和传统智慧。包装工队赢得了掷硬币，并选择接球，而不是将开球选项推迟到下半场。

The Green Bay Packers have made a habit of receiving the opening kickoff this season, a strategy that paid off handsomely in 2023 but appears to be less effective in 2024.

绿湾包装工队本赛季已经养成了接受开球的习惯，这一策略在 2023 年获得了丰厚的回报，但在 2024 年似乎效果不佳。

The Packers won the coin toss and chose to receive in four of the five games they won the toss this season. They deferred once, in their Week 2 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. Their opponents elected to defer in the five games they won the coin toss.

包装工队赢得了掷硬币，并在本赛季赢得的五场比赛中选择了四场接球。他们在第二周战胜明尼苏达维京人队时推迟了一次。他们的对手在他们赢得掷硬币的五场比赛中选择推迟。

Combined, the Packers have had the ball first in nine of their ten games. In those nine games, the Packers have scored 20 points on their opening drives. Their opponents have similarly scored 20 points in their nine drives to open the 2nd half.

合计而言，包装工队在十场比赛中的九场中都拥有球权。在这 9 场比赛中，包装工队在开局就得到了 20 分。他们的对手在下半场开场的九次进攻中同样得到了 20 分。

Their opponents have had four “double-up” opportunities. They scored in their final possession of the first half in all four, totaling 16 points. Philadelphia and Chicago have successfully pulled off the double-up by scoring on their opening possession of the 2nd half, as well.

他们的对手有四次“双倍”机会。他们在上半场的最后一个回合中四场比赛都得分，总共得到16分。费城队和芝加哥队也在下半场开场得分，成功实现了双杀。

The Packers are 5-4 in those nine games. Having the ball first certainly hasn’t been a disadvantage for the Packers. They have a net 4-point disadvantage in the opening and closing drives of the 20 halves of football they’ve played so far. Over a ten-game sample, that’s pretty meaningless.

包装工队在这九场比赛中取得了 5 胜 4 负的战绩。首先拥有球权对于包装工队来说当然不是一个劣势。迄今为止，他们已经踢了 20 场半场比赛，在开场和收场进攻中，他们净落后 4 分。超过十场比赛的样本，这是毫无意义的。

However, if you’re going against conventional wisdom in your decision-making process, you should see some advantage from it. Since they're not getting any advantage from receiving the opening kickoff, it’s probably time for Matt LaFleur to abandon the experiment and go back to deferring when winning the coin flip.

然而，如果您在决策过程中违背传统智慧，您应该会从中看到一些优势。由于他们没有从开球中获得任何优势，因此马特·拉弗勒尔可能是时候放弃实验并在赢得抛硬币时重新推迟。