随着比特币重回 10 万美元，Memecoin 反弹，DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 看到有利的链上指标

由于世界上最大的数字资产比特币（BTC）的短暂下跌，Memecoins 在本周初暴跌。

Memecoins suffered a blow at the start of the week in response to a brief downturn in Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s largest digital asset. Now that Bitcoin has reclaimed $100,000, the top three memecoins have begun to rebound. On Thursday, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) posted slight gains, while PEPE corrected.

由于全球最大的数字资产比特币（BTC）的短暂下跌，Memecoins 在本周初遭受了打击。如今，比特币已经重回 10 万美元，前三名 memecoin 也开始反弹。周四，狗狗币（DOGE）和柴犬币（SHIB）小幅上涨，而 PEPE 则出现回调。

Favorable Onchain Metrics

有利的链上指标

Inspired by a bullish recovery, the market capitalization of the meme coin sector increased by 7% in the last 24 hours. According to CoinGecko data, the meme coin market capitalization now stands at $133 billion, while daily trading volume rose to $20.9 billion.

受看涨复苏的启发，meme 币板块的市值在过去 24 小时内增长了 7%。根据 CoinGecko 数据，meme 币市值目前为 1330 亿美元，日交易量升至 209 亿美元。

Onchain metrics even suggest further gains for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE. Dogecoin rose modestly on Thursday, trading around $0.41500, nearly 14% behind its 2024 high of $0.48434.

链上指标甚至表明 DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 进一步上涨。狗狗币周四小幅上涨，交易价格约为 0.41500 美元，较 2024 年高点 0.48434 美元上涨近 14%。

One interesting factor contributing to DOGE’s price recovery this week is the liquidation of over-leveraged trades across derivatives exchanges. According to Coinglass data, derivatives transaction volume has decreased by 34% in the last 24 hours. Within the same period, Open Interest (OI), or the value of open derivatives contracts across exchanges, increased by almost 5%.

本周促成 DOGE 价格回升的一个有趣因素是衍生品交易所过度杠杆交易的清算。 Coinglass 数据显示，过去 24 小时内衍生品交易量下降了 34%。同一时期内，未平仓合约 (OI)，即跨交易所未平仓衍生品合约的价值，增长了近 5%。

Another metric indicating an optimistic outlook is the Long-to-short ratio. This metric measures the balance of long (buy) and short (sell) positions on derivatives exchanges, including Binance and OKX, and exceeds 4.

表明前景乐观的另一个指标是多空比率。该指标衡量衍生品交易所（包括 Binance 和 OKX）的多头（买入）和空头（卖出）头寸余额，并且超过 4。

A reading higher than 1 means most traders are in long positions as the market sentiment is positive. The average long-to-short ratio is 0.9573, but derivatives traders are bullish on DOGE across exchanges.

读数高于 1 意味着大多数交易者持有多头头寸，因为市场情绪积极。平均多空比为0.9573，但各交易所衍生品交易商都看好DOGE。

Meanwhile, SHIB and PEPE also recorded an increase in Open Interest on Thursday. 1000PEPE, a financial derivative created from PEPE/USD x 1000 Index price, experienced a 3.22% gain in OI. On the other hand, SHIB Open Interest increased slightly by less than 0.5%.

与此同时，SHIB 和 PEPE 周四的未平仓合约也有所增加。 1000PEPE 是一种根据 PEPE/USD x 1000 指数价格创建的金融衍生品，其 OI 上涨了 3.22%。另一方面，SHIB持仓量小幅增长，​​增幅不足0.5%。

How Bitcoin Profit-Taking Can Influence Dogecoin, SHIB, and PEPE

比特币获利回吐如何影响狗狗币、SHIB 和 PEPE

Moreover, onchain Santiment data reveals positive spikes in the network realized profit/loss metric for Bitcoin. A large increase in this metric usually indicates intense profit-taking among traders.

此外，链上 Santiment 数据显示，比特币网络实现的损益指标呈正峰值。该指标的大幅增加通常表明交易者的获利了结程度很高。

In previous cycles, traders transferred capital from Bitcoin to altcoins after making profits, a process called “capital rotation.”

在之前的周期中，交易者在获利后将资金从比特币转移到山寨币，这一过程称为“资本轮换”。

If the pattern repeats this cycle, Bitcoin traders could transfer accumulated profits to meme coins. This would further boost demand and strengthen the bullish case for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE. As of this writing, Bitcoin has been trading at $100,051, down 0.64% in the last 24 hours.

如果这种模式重复这个循环，比特币交易者可以将累积的利润转移到模因币上。这将进一步提振需求并强化 ​​DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 的看涨理由。截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 100,051 美元，在过去 24 小时内下跌 0.64%。

The recent price surges coincided with rising trading volumes, a positive indicator. The trading volume for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE increased substantially between November 6 and December 10.

最近的价格飙升与交易量的增加同时发生，这是一个积极的指标。 DOGE、SHIB和PEPE的交易量在11月6日至12月10日期间大幅增加。

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has raised an optimistic forecast for DOGE. The analyst predicts a rise to $1.50 in the next four weeks and a longer-term target of $3, per a CNF report. Regarding SHIB, analysts predicted the memecoin could climb to reach $0.000033684 by year-end.

加密货币分析师 Ali Martinez 对 DOGE 提出了乐观的预测。根据 CNF 的报告，分析师预计未来 4 周内价格将上涨至 1.50 美元，长期目标为 3 美元。关于 SHIB，分析师预测 memecoin 到年底可能会攀升至 0.000033684 美元。

Finally, crypto analyst Javon Marks disclosed in a CNF report that PEPE’s recent break from a falling wedge pattern points to a potential 65% rally.

最后，加密货币分析师 Javon Marks 在 CNF 报告中透露，PEPE 最近突破下降楔形模式，预示着潜在的 65% 反弹。

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