卡玛拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）比唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）更适合比特币吗？

行业的支持最明显地倾向于前总统唐纳德·特朗普，在经历了多年的怀疑之后，他强烈拥抱加密货币。

While U.S. presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have yet to officially announce their stance on cryptocurrency, analysts at VanEck have already weighed in on the matter.

尽管美国总统候选人唐纳德·特朗普和卡马拉·哈里斯尚未正式宣布他们对加密货币的立场，但 VanEck 的分析师已经对此事发表了看法。

According to the company’s analysts, both candidates would likely continue the current economic policies, which they believe would weaken the U.S. dollar and bolster Bitcoin adoption.

该公司分析师表示，两位候选人都可能会继续当前的经济政策，他们认为这将削弱美元并促进比特币的采用。

However, they also noted that a Harris presidency might be even better for Bitcoin because it would accelerate the structural issues that drive Bitcoin adoption in the first place.

然而，他们还指出，哈里斯担任总统可能对比特币更好，因为它首先会加速推动比特币采用的结构性问题的解决。

Should that happen, they believe Bitcoin’s unique regulatory clarity will likely make it even more competitive than other digital assets.

如果发生这种情况，他们相信比特币独特的监管清晰度可能会使其比其他数字资产更具竞争力。

“As inflation and currency devaluation continue challenging fiat monetary systems, Bitcoin can serve as a vital hedge,” the strategists added.

策略师补充道：“随着通货膨胀和货币贬值继续挑战法定货币体系，比特币可以作为重要的对冲工具。”

Still, Sigel and Frankovitz are of the opinion that the crypto industry as a whole, not just Bitcoin, would benefit from a Trump presidency for a second term.

尽管如此，西格尔和弗兰科维茨认为，整个加密行业，而不仅仅是比特币，都将受益于特朗普总统的第二任期。

“Conversely, We believe a Trump presidency is generally bullish for the entire crypto ecosystem, as it would likely produce more deregulation and business-friendly policies — perhaps particularly so for crypto entrepreneurs, who regulators have increasingly scrutinized in the past four years,” the report said.

“相反，我们认为特朗普担任总统总体上看好整个加密货币生态系统，因为它可能会产生更多的放松管制和有利于商业的政策——对于加密货币企业家来说尤其如此，监管机构在过去四年里对他们进行了越来越多的审查。”报道称。

The former U.S. president used to slam crypto as a “scam,” but has since embraced non-fungible tokens (NFTs), Bitcoin, and has even debuted his own decentralized finance (DeFi) project called World Liberty Financial.

这位美国前总统曾经将加密货币视为“骗局”，但此后开始拥抱不可替代代币（NFT）和比特币，甚至推出了自己的去中心化金融（DeFi）项目，名为 World Liberty Financial。

Trump, who spoke at the July Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tenn., used Bitcoin a couple of days ago to pay for burgers at the PubKey bar in New York City.

特朗普在田纳西州纳什维尔举行的 7 月比特币 2024 年会议上发表讲话，几天前使用比特币在纽约市的 PubKey 酒吧购买汉堡。

Bitcoin To Hit $200K In 2025 Regardless Of Whether Trump Or Harris Wins Election

无论特朗普还是哈里斯赢得选举，比特币都将在 2025 年达到 20 万美元

In any case, the analysts believe Bitcoin will thrive over the long term regardless of who wins the U.S. presidential election in November.

无论如何，分析师认为，无论谁赢得 11 月份的美国总统大选，比特币都将长期繁荣。

“Regardless of the election outcome, the trend of growing fiscal deficits and rising national debt will likely continue. This suggests a weakening of the U.S. dollar, a macroeconomic environment in which Bitcoin has historically thrived,” the VanEck team said.

“无论选举结果如何，财政赤字增加和国债增加的趋势可能会持续下去。这表明美元走软，而比特币在历史上曾在这种宏观经济环境中蓬勃发展。”VanEck 团队表示。

Meanwhile, the global head of digital assets research at British multinational bank Standard Chartered, Geoff Kendrick, shares a similar sentiment. Kendrick expects the price of Bitcoin to skyrocket regardless of who becomes president, hitting as high as $200,000 by 2025-end.

与此同时，英国跨国银行渣打银行数字资产研究全球主管 Geoff Kendrick 也持有类似的观点。 Kendrick 预计，无论谁当选总统，比特币的价格都会飙升，到 2025 年底将达到 20 万美元。

He cited three key catalysts primed to propel the BTC price to new lifetime highs next year, including the repealing of Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 (aka SAB-121) — a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rule that discourages banks from offering crypto custody services — a notable increase in inflation, and massive inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

他列举了明年推动 BTC 价格创下历史新高的三个关键催化剂，包括废除第 121 号员工会计公告（又名 SAB-121）——美国证券交易委员会的一项规定，不鼓励银行提供加密货币托管服务- 通货膨胀显着上升，大量资金流入现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）。

In conclusion, Kendrick predicted BTC would reach about $125,000 by the end of this year if Trump reclaims the Oval Office, but he also foresees the pioneer crypto reaching a historic high of $200,000 by the end of 2025 “no matter who’s in the White House.”

总而言之，肯德里克预测，如果特朗普重新入主椭圆形办公室，到今年年底，比特币的价格将达到约 125,000 美元，但他还预计，到 2025 年底，“无论谁入主白宫”，这一先锋加密货币的价格将达到 200,000 美元的历史新高。 ”