如果美国政府积累了战略性比特币储备

全球加密投资公司Vaneck断言，如果政府积累了比特币的战略储备，它可以帮助抵消超过20万亿美元

Global crypto investment firm VanEck has asserted that if the government accumulates a strategic reserve of Bitcoin (BTC), it could help offset over $20 trillion in U.S. debt by 2049.

全球加密投资公司Vaneck断言，如果政府积累了比特币（BTC）的战略储备，则可以帮助抵消到2049年到2049年的20万亿美元债务。

In a Thursday report, VanEck (NYSE:VANC) detailed its projections, outlining how Bitcoin’s appreciation could significantly impact sovereign debt management.

Vaneck（NYSE：VANC）在周四的报告中详细介绍了其预测，概述了比特币的赞赏如何显着影响主权债务管理。

“If the U.S. government follows the Bitcoin Act’s proposed path – accumulating 1 million BTC by 2029, our analysis suggests this reserve could offset around $21 trillion of national debt by 2049. That would amount to 18% of total U.S. debt at that time.” The firm noted.

“如果美国政府遵循《比特币法案》提议的道路 - 到2029年累积了100万BTC，我们的分析表明，到2049年，该储备金可以抵消约21万亿美元的国债。当时，这将占美国总债务的18％。”该公司指出。

Notably, with U.S. national debt currently at $36.22 trillion, VanEck’s assumptions are based on a 5% annual increase, projecting total debt to reach around $116 trillion by 2049. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 25%, potentially reaching $21 million per BTC.

值得注意的是，由于美国国家债务目前为36.22万亿美元，Vaneck的假设是基于每年5％的增加，预计到2049年，总债务将达到约1,16万亿美元。同时，预计比特币将以25％的复合年增长，潜在地达到每BTC的25％。

The firm’s latest statement builds on its December report, which predicted that a strategic Bitcoin reserve could help the U.S. reduce its national debt by 35% by 2050. At that time, the firm estimated Bitcoin could reach a price of $42.3 million by 2049, while federal obligations could grow to $119.3 trillion.

该公司的最新声明是基于12月份的报告，该报告预测，战略性比特币储备可以帮助美国到2050年将其国家债务减少35％。当时，该公司估计比特币到2049年的价格可能达到4230万美元，而联邦义务可以增长至119.3万亿美元。

VanEck has also examined potential Bitcoin acquisitions at the state level. A report earlier this month estimated that state-level Bitcoin Strategic Reserve bills could lead to purchases totaling 242,787 BTC, roughly $23.5 billion, further integrating Bitcoin into public finance. The firm further suggested that pension fund investments could increase this figure.

Vaneck还检查了州一级潜在的比特币采集。本月早些时候的一份报告估计，州级比特币战略储备账单可能会导致购买总计242,787 BTC，约235亿美元，将比特币进一步整合到公共财务中。该公司进一步建议，养老基金投资可以增加这一数字。

The debate over the U.S. using Bitcoin to offset national debt gained momentum after Senator Cynthia Lummis, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, introduced the Bitcoin Act last July. The bill proposes establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to strengthen the U.S. dollar.

在去年7月提出的《比特币倡导者》参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）参议员辛西娅·卢米斯（Cynthia Lummis）去年7月推出了《比特币法》之后，美国对美国的辩论取消了国债的势头。该法案建议建立一个战略性的比特币储备，以加强美元。

Recently, Lummis clarified the act’s intent, stating, “To be clear, the ‘strategic’ purpose of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is to explicitly, strategically, pay down government debt hanging over the head of every American. Put future Americans on a better footing, unencumbered by debt that they never supported or benefited from.”

最近，卢米斯（Lummis）澄清了该法案的意图，指出：“要明确，战略比特币储备的'战略性'目的是明确，战略性地偿还悬挂在每个美国人负责人的政府债务。使未来的美国人处于更好的立足点，不受他们从未支持或受益的债务所束缚。”

That said, as discussions around a Bitcoin reserve gain traction, prominent figures like Michael Saylor have voiced support, projecting its potential impact on the U.S. economy at $81 trillion. Meanwhile, former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao speculated that if a future Trump administration embraced such policies, it could trigger a “race between states in the digital gold market.”

也就是说，随着关于比特币储备收益吸引力的讨论，迈克尔·塞勒（Michael Saylor）等著名人物已经表达了支持，将其对美国经济的潜在影响预测为81万亿美元。同时，前Binance首席执行官Changpeng Zhao推测，如果未来的特朗普政府采用此类政策，它可能会触发“数字黄金市场之间的国家之间的竞赛”。