比特币在选举兴奋和焦虑中嗡嗡作响，达到新的高度

围绕美国总统大选，加密货币世界充满了兴奋和焦虑，比特币的价格反映了这种高涨的能量。

The U.S. presidential election has gripped the cryptocurrency world, with Bitcoin's price fluctuating wildly in response to the unfolding political drama.

美国总统大选席卷了加密货币世界，比特币的价格因不断上演的政治戏剧而剧烈波动。

On election night, Bitcoin soared to new heights, reaching $75,000, as traders bet on the possibility of former President Donald Trump regaining political ground.

在选举之夜，随着交易员押注前总统唐纳德·特朗普重新获得政治地位的可能性，比特币飙升至新高，达到 75,000 美元。

This record surge surpassed the previous peak of $73,797.68 set earlier this year, highlighting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market and its responsiveness to political events.

这一创纪录的飙升超过了今年早些时候创下的 73,797.68 美元的峰值，凸显了加密货币市场的波动性及其对政治事件的反应。

The surge was particularly noteworthy considering Bitcoin had been trading relatively stable around the $70,000 mark for much of the year. However, traders reacted strongly to early election results showing Trump with significant support.

考虑到比特币今年大部分时间都在 70,000 美元大关附近相对稳定地交易，这一涨幅尤其值得注意。然而，交易员对显示特朗普获得大力支持的早期选举结果反应强烈。

The broader crypto market also echoed this sentiment, with key players like Coinbase and MicroStrategy seeing after-hours trading growth of 3% and 4%, respectively.

更广泛的加密货币市场也呼应了这种情绪，Coinbase 和 MicroStrategy 等主要参与者的盘后交易量分别增长了 3% 和 4%。

Yet, this upward move came with cautionary notes. Many analysts warned of potential turbulence as the election results unfolded.

然而，这种上升趋势也带来了警告。许多分析师警告称，随着选举结果的公布，可能会出现动荡。

If Vice President Kamala Harris were to take the lead, analysts predicted downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, whereas Trump’s win could potentially propel prices even higher.

如果副总统卡马拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）带头，分析师预计比特币价格将面临下行压力，而特朗普的胜利可能会推动价格进一步走高。

“The election is having a huge impact on crypto. Expect Bitcoin—and the entire crypto market—to be choppy over the coming days until definitive results come through,” said Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management.

“这次选举对加密货币产生了巨大影响。 Bitwise 资产管理公司研究主管瑞恩·拉斯穆森 (Ryan Rasmussen) 表示，预计比特币以及整个加密货币市场在未来几天将出现波动，直到最终结果出来。

Rasmussen's insights illuminate the nervousness rippling through the market; he goes on to forecast, “If Trump wins, I foresee new all-time highs. If Harris wins, we could see some short-term sell-offs, but I believe the market will eventually rebound.”

拉斯穆森的见解揭示了市场中弥漫的紧张情绪；他接着预测，“如果特朗普获胜，我预计将创下历史新高。如果哈里斯获胜，我们可能会看到一些短期抛售，但我相信市场最终会反弹。”

Historically, Bitcoin has shown resilience following U.S. elections. Looking back at the previous elections—2012, 2016, and 2020—Bitcoin reported gains of roughly 87%, 44%, and 145% within 90 days post-election.

从历史上看，比特币在美国大选后表现出了韧性。回顾之前的选举（2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年），比特币在选举后 90 天内分别上涨了约 87%、44% 和 145%。

These gains often align with key economic events; for example, the halving of Bitcoin's supply typically coincides with election years. This year is no different, as traders anticipate potential interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve, which could provide additional momentum for Bitcoin’s price.

这些收益通常与关键经济事件相一致；例如，比特币供应量减半通常与选举年同时发生。今年也不例外，因为交易员预计美联储可能会降息，这可能会为比特币的价格提供额外的动力。

Several market participants noted the current price of Bitcoin, hovering below $70,000, is indicative of its fair value heading toward election day, according to analysts at CryptoQuant.

CryptoQuant 分析师表示，一些市场参与者指出，比特币目前的价格徘徊在 70,000 美元以下，这表明其公允价值即将到来。

“A positive election outcome can spark Bitcoin to rally, setting new records,” said Julio Moreno, another CryptoQuant analyst who refrained from dismissing the volatile potential of the elections.

另一位 CryptoQuant 分析师 Julio Moreno 表示：“积极的选举结果可能会引发比特币反弹，创下新纪录。”他没有否认选举的波动性。

James Davies, head of the Crypto Valley Exchange, expressed similar sentiments, remarking, "Everyone we’ve talked to is gearing up for potential action based on the election results. There’s anticipation of massive volatility, regardless of whether Trump or Harris emerges victoriously."

加密谷交易所负责人詹姆斯·戴维斯也表达了类似的观点，他表示：“我们采访过的每个人都在为根据选举结果采取的潜在行动做准备。无论特朗普还是哈里斯获胜，都预计会出现大规模波动。” ”

Adding to the complexity, this year's presidential election is viewed as pivotal for the cryptocurrency industry. Voter concerns over government spending and rising deficits, reaching $1.8 trillion, have prompted many investors to view Bitcoin as a safeguard against potential fiscal and monetary policies which may devalue the dollar.

雪上加霜的是，今年的总统选举被视为加密货币行业的关键。选民对政府支出和赤字上升（达到 1.8 万亿美元）的担忧促使许多投资者将比特币视为防范可能导致美元贬值的潜在财政和货币政策的保障措施。

Investors are particularly alert due to the perceived risks associated with Harris's policies, regarded by some as potentially antagonistic to the crypto industry. Conversely, many see Trump as more favorable, having publicly courted the crypto sector throughout his campaign.

由于与哈里斯政策相关的已知风险，投资者特别警惕，一些人认为这些政策可能与加密行业相悖。相反，许多人认为特朗普更受欢迎，他在整个竞选过程中公开向加密货币行业示好。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin's market activity reflected this uncertainty. Just days before the election, the token witnessed fluctuations with prices dipping close to $67,000, before bouncing back to the $70,500 range. This rollercoaster of trading patterns is symptomatic of the anxiety across financial markets as traders awaited election results.

与此同时，比特币的市场活动也反映了这种不确定性。就在选举前几天，该代币出现波动，价格跌至接近 67,000 美元，然后反弹至 70,500 美元区间。这种过山车般的交易模式体现了交易者等待选举结果时整个金融市场的焦虑情绪。

Interestingly, there’s also been public chatter around election-related betting markets affecting Bitcoin's movement. The crypto is often treated like digital gold, attracting retail investors who are not just hedging against inflation but also taking part alongside traditional assets like gold during these unpredictable times.

有趣的是，公众对影响比特币走势的选举相关博彩市场也存在议论。加密货币通常被视为数字黄金，吸引了散户投资者，他们不仅对冲通胀，而且在这个不可预测的时期与黄金等传统资产一起参与。

Historical patterns suggest Bitcoin’s post-election returns could be influenced significantly by the volatility experienced during the lead-up to the polls. Therefore, traders approach this period with optimism tempered with caution.

历史模式表明，比特币的选举后回报可能会受到投票前经历的波动的显着影响。因此，交易者以乐观但谨慎的态度对待这一时期。

With less than 24 hours until results start trickling in, the environment is charged with uncertainty yet filled with hope. Each decision by the electorate could cascade through financial markets, impacting everything from Bitcoin’s valuation to the broader crypto ecosystem. The next few days will be defining not just for Bitcoin, but for cryptos nationwide, as political winds continue to shift.

距离结果开始流出还有不到 24 小时，环境充满不确定性，但也充满希望。选民的每一项决定都可能影响金融市场，影响从比特币估值到更广泛的加密生态系统的方方面面。随着政治风向的不断转变，未来几天不仅会影响比特币，也会影响全国的加密货币。

Many industry experts assert vigilance will be necessary throughout this electoral process, predicting short-term swings as sentiment evolves based on the outcome. Whether it is Trump or Harris, indicators suggest the election could serve as either a catapult or yet another hurdle for the cryptocurrency, marking yet another chapter in the volatile saga of Bitcoin's relationship with U.S. politics.

许多行业专家声称，在整个选举过程中必须保持警惕，并预测随着情绪根据结果变化而出现短期波动。无论是特朗普还是哈里斯，迹象表明这次选举可能成为加密货币的弹射器或另一个障碍，标志着比特币与美国政治关系的动荡传奇又一章。