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比特币[BTC]整个月经历了强劲的上涨势头。从历史上看,九月与看跌趋势相关。
Bitcoin [BTC] has experienced a strong upward momentum throughout the month. Historically, September is associated with a bearish trend. However, this month has seen a dramatic shift with BTC making higher lows.
比特币[BTC]整个月经历了强劲的上涨势头。从历史上看,九月与看跌趋势相关。然而,本月出现了戏剧性的转变,比特币创下了更高的低点。
In fact, at the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $65,530. This marked a 10.52% increase on monthly charts with the extension of the uptrend by a 4.16% surge over the past week.
事实上,在撰写本文时,比特币的交易价格为 65,530 美元。这标志着月度图表上的涨幅为 10.52%,过去一周上涨趋势扩大了 4.16%。
However, the last 24 hours have seen a minor correction with Bitcoin declining by 0.46%.
然而,过去 24 小时比特币出现小幅回调,下跌 0.46%。
Hence, the current market conditions have left analysts talking over Bitcoin’s trajectory. One of them is the popular crypto analyst Caleb Franzen who suggested that a bullish trend is set to continue citing bullish RSI divergence.
因此,当前的市场状况让分析师们开始讨论比特币的发展轨迹。其中之一是受欢迎的加密货币分析师 Caleb Franzen,他认为看涨趋势将继续,理由是 RSI 看涨背离。
What market sentiment says
市场情绪怎么说
In his analysis, Franzen Cited bullish RSI to argue that, the bulls are dominating the market.
Franzen 在他的分析中引用了看涨的 RSI 来论证,多头正在主导市场。
Source: X
来源:X
According to the analyst, RSI has not formed a bearish RSI divergence on daily charts. However, the RSI is continuing to confirm the bullish trend off the lows. Therefore, it has been confirming the bullish RSI divergence.
分析师表示,RSI 在日线图上尚未形成看跌 RSI 背离。然而,RSI 继续确认脱离低点的看涨趋势。因此,RSI 的看涨背离得到了证实。
In context, the fact that there is no bearish divergence implies that the price increase is supported by momentum and there’s no significant sign of a reversal at this time.
在上下文中,不存在看跌背离的事实意味着价格上涨受到动力的支持,并且目前没有明显的逆转迹象。
When a bearish RSI divergence occurs, it indicates a weakening upward momentum and could suggest that a price correction is imminent.
当 RSI 出现看跌背离时,表明上行势头减弱,并可能表明价格调整即将到来。
Thus, although BTC might have made lower lows recently, the RSI is making higher lows indicating that momentum is building despite lower prices.
因此,尽管 BTC 最近可能创下了更低的低点,但 RSI 却创下了更高的低点,表明尽管价格较低,但势头正在增强。
Usually, a bullish RSI divergence suggests that selling pressure is weakening and buying interest is growing leading to a further upside.
通常,看涨 RSI 背离表明抛售压力正在减弱,而买盘兴趣正在增长,从而导致进一步上涨。
What BTC charts say
BTC 图表说明了什么
As observed by Frazen, Bitcoin is enjoying favorable market conditions. Therefore, these market conditions could set BTC for further gains on price charts.
正如 Frazen 观察到的那样,比特币正享受着有利的市场条件。因此,这些市场状况可能会让比特币在价格图表上进一步上涨。
Source: Cryptoquant
来源:Cryptoquant
For example, the Exchange whale ratio has declined from a high of 0.68 to 0.511 at press time. This decline suggests that whales are moving their BTC off exchanges into private wallets.
例如,截至发稿时,交易所鲸鱼比率已从高位 0.68 下降至 0.511。这种下降表明鲸鱼正在将他们的比特币从交易所转移到私人钱包中。
Such market behavior is a bullish signal indicating that large holders have no plan to sell in the short term.
这种市场行为是一个看涨信号,表明大户短期内没有抛售计划。
Source: Cryptoquant
来源:Cryptoquant
Additionally, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) has risen from a low of 0.4 to 0.51 over the past week. As NUPL rises, it indicates that investors are seeing profits.
此外,过去一周,比特币的未实现净损益(NUPL)已从 0.4 的低点上升至 0.51。随着 NUPL 的上升,表明投资者正在看到利润。
This usually occurs during the market bullish phase as prices increase exceeding the purchasing value. Therefore, it results in increased optimism as participants feel more confident in the market’s future potential, expecting further price gains.
这通常发生在市场看涨阶段,因为价格上涨超过购买价值。因此,随着参与者对市场未来潜力更有信心,预期价格进一步上涨,乐观情绪增强。
Source: Santiment
资料来源:Santiment
Finally, Bitcoin’s DyDx exchange funding rate has remained positive over the past week. A positive DyDx exchange funding rate suggests long position holders are paying those taking shorts to hold their position.
最后,比特币的 DyDx 汇率融资利率在过去一周一直保持正值。 DyDx 汇率融资利率为正值表明多头头寸持有者正在向空头头寸持有者支付费用以维持其头寸。
Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator
您的投资组合是绿色的吗?查看 BTC 利润计算器
In such a market situation, investors are more inclined to take long positions anticipating prices to rise.
在这种市场情况下,投资者更倾向于持有多头头寸,预期价格上涨。
Simply put, Bitcoin is experiencing a strong upward momentum will bulls dominating the market. Therefore, in these conditions, BTC will make further gains on price charts by reclaiming the $66500 resistance level in the short term.
简而言之,比特币正在经历强劲的上涨势头,多头将主导市场。因此,在这种情况下,BTC 将在短期内收复 66500 美元阻力位,从而在价格图表上进一步上涨。
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