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周四,BTC/USD 货币对创下更高的高点,突破了 65,000 美元的阻力位。周五到目前为止,每日确认均位于阻力位上方
The BTC/USD pair saw a higher high on Thursday, breaking through the $65,000 resistance. Friday is so far showing a daily confirmation above the resistance, which, should this be successful, will provide the platform for the next leg up towards the major $70,000 resistance.
BTC/美元货币对周四创下更高高点,突破了 65,000 美元的阻力位。周五到目前为止,每日确认均在阻力位之上,如果成功的话,将为下一步上涨至 70,000 美元的主要阻力位提供平台。
Greed is back
贪婪又回来了
The bull market is back. Sentiment is tipping back to Greed across the market, as displayed by the Fear and Greed Index. Only last month, this indicator was deep in the Fear, at a score of 30. What a difference a few weeks makes.
牛市又回来了。正如恐惧和贪婪指数所示,整个市场的情绪正在回归贪婪。就在上个月,这一指标还处于深度恐惧之中,得分为 30。几周后的情况发生了多么大的变化啊。
The U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are buying again, with only one net outflow day in the last ten. Thursday’s net inflow was the biggest since July, at $365.7 million, as institutional buyers are perhaps rushing in to lay their bets before the $BTC price takes off again.
美国现货比特币ETF再次买入,近十日仅有一天出现净流出。周四的净流入达到 7 月以来的最高水平,达到 3.657 亿美元,因为机构买家可能会在 BTC 价格再次上涨之前蜂拥而至进行押注。
M2 money supply breaks out
M2货币供应量爆发
Looking further out, macro analyst Raoul Pal retweeted a Julien Bittel post on X, showing that the Global M2 money supply has broken out. Both analysts are confident that this indicator will push crypto much higher. Bittel commented on his and Pal’s “Everything Code” view:
展望更远,宏观分析师 Raoul Pal 在 X 上转发了 Julien Bittel 的帖子,显示全球 M2 货币供应量已经突破。两位分析师都相信该指标将推动加密货币走高。 Bittel 评论了他和 Pal 的“Everything Code”观点:
“And if our hypothesis around The Everything Code is correct, this is still going much, much higher…”
“如果我们关于一切代码的假设是正确的,那么这个数字仍然会高得多……”
Short term resistances are now support
短期阻力现为支撑
In the short term time frame, $BTC is indeed heading higher. Both horizontal levels at $63,600, and $65,000, which were resistances on Thursday, are now supports on Friday.
在短期内,BTC 确实正在走高。 63,600 美元和 65,000 美元的水平水平在周四是阻力位,现在在周五成为支撑位。
The price is potentially heading back to the top of the channel, which it could theoretically meet at $68,000 through to $70,000. The next Fibonacci level for this move would be at the 1.618, at $72,750.
价格有可能回到通道顶部,理论上可能达到 68,000 美元至 70,000 美元。这一走势的下一个斐波那契水平将是 1.618,即 72,750 美元。
Fibonacci levels suggest $102,000 and then $155,000
斐波那契水平建议为 102,000 美元,然后为 155,000 美元
The weekly chart for $BTC shows a much clearer macro picture for the king of the cryptocurrencies. The price is currently surpassing the tops of the candle bodies for the last bull cycle in 2021, and the top of the bull flag is now very close.
BTC 美元的周线图显示了加密货币之王更清晰的宏观图景。目前价格已超过 2021 年最后一个牛市周期的蜡烛体顶部,并且牛旗顶部现在非常接近。
It can be seen how accurate the Fibonacci levels are for the whole of this Bitcoin bull cycle. The 0.786 Fibonacci is now support, and the next major level (1.618) is way up above at $102,000. Also, if one measures the move for the bull flag, this gives a target of just over $100,000.
可以看出斐波那契水平对于整个比特币牛市周期来说是多么准确。 0.786 斐波那契现在是支撑位,下一个主要水平 (1.618) 远高于 102,000 美元。此外,如果衡量牛旗的走势,目标价将略高于 100,000 美元。
Whichever way one looks at this, things do look very promising for Bitcoin going forward. Fibonacci levels have predicted the major moves for Bitcoin throughout its previous bull cycles, so it might be expected that this will continue to be the case. If $100,000 is achieved, the next big Fibonacci level (2.618) is at $155,000.
无论从哪个角度来看,比特币的未来发展确实非常有希望。斐波那契水平预测了比特币在之前牛市周期中的主要走势,因此预计这种情况将持续下去。如果达到 100,000 美元,下一个斐波那契大水平 (2.618) 为 155,000 美元。
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