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比特币 (BTC) 在周五重新测试 66,000 美元后,正在逼近 70,000 美元的里程碑。此前,美联储首选通胀指标——核心PCE指数(个人消费支出)的数据低于预期。
Bitcoin (BTC) price is nearing the $70,000 milestone after retesting the $66,000 support on Friday. This follows a softer-than-expected reading on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Core PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures). This index tracks inflation while excluding the more volatile components, such as food and energy prices.
比特币 (BTC) 价格在周五重新测试 66,000 美元支撑位后,已接近 70,000 美元里程碑。此前,美联储首选通胀指标核心PCE指数(个人消费支出)的读数低于预期。该指数追踪通胀,同时排除食品和能源价格等波动较大的成分。
The August Core PCE index showed a 2.6% year-on-year increase, slightly below the anticipated 2.7%. This lower-than-expected inflation figure lifted market sentiment, with speculators factoring in the possibility of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November.
8月核心PCE指数同比增长2.6%,略低于预期的2.7%。低于预期的通胀数据提振了市场情绪,投机者考虑到美联储 11 月降息 50 个基点 (bps) 的可能性。
According to QCP Capital, a trading firm, the labor market updates will be crucial in determining the market’s direction. In a weekend report from 28 September, QCP highlighted the upcoming labor market indicators, including JOLTs, ADP, and the U.S. unemployment rate.
贸易公司 QCP Capital 表示,劳动力市场的更新对于确定市场方向至关重要。在 9 月 28 日的周末报告中,QCP 强调了即将到来的劳动力市场指标,包括 JOLT、ADP 和美国失业率。
The most anticipated updates are the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs), and the U.S. employment report, scheduled for release on 1 and 4 November, respectively. QCP projects that strong labor metrics could strengthen the case for a 50bps rate cut in November, which would likely boost risk assets.
最令人期待的更新是职位空缺和劳动力流动调查 (JOLT) 以及美国就业报告,分别定于 11 月 1 日和 4 日发布。 QCP 预计,强劲的劳动力指标可能会强化 11 月份降息 50 个基点的理由,这可能会提振风险资产。
If this pans out, Bitcoin could continue its upward trajectory toward $70,000, especially after reclaiming its 200-day moving average (MA).
如果这一情况成功,比特币可能会继续上涨至 70,000 美元,特别是在收复 200 日移动平均线 (MA) 之后。
When analyzing Ethereum, it is first critical to compare its performance to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC). The ETH/BTC pair has fallen below the 0.04 barrier, indicating a shift in viewpoint. Historically, when ETH/BTC falls, it tends to bottom within 8-10 weeks.
在分析以太坊时,首先将其性能与比特币(ETH/BTC)进行比较至关重要。 ETH/BTC 货币对已跌破 0.04 关口,表明观点发生转变。从历史上看,当 ETH/BTC 下跌时,它往往会在 8-10 周内触底。
However, market analyst Benjamin Cowen warns of conflicting signals. For example, ETH/BTC previously bottomed when the Federal Reserve shifted from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), a move that has yet to occur.
然而,市场分析师本杰明·考恩警告称,信号可能相互矛盾。例如,当美联储从量化紧缩(QT)转向量化宽松(QE)时,ETH/BTC 曾触底,但这一举措尚未发生。
Despite these mixed signals, the market rally could also benefit Ethereum (ETH), which has outperformed Bitcoin since the Fed’s policy shift. A further macroeconomic tailwind could extend ETH’s strong recovery. Market analyst Benjamin Cowen suggests ETH could reach the $3,000 psychological level. Presently, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,677 after a substantial 10% rally over the past week.
尽管存在这些混杂的信号,市场反弹也可能有利于以太坊(ETH),自美联储政策转变以来,以太坊的表现优于比特币。宏观经济的进一步推动可能会延续 ETH 的强劲复苏。市场分析师 Benjamin Cowen 认为 ETH 可能会达到 3,000 美元的心理水平。在过去一周大幅上涨 10% 后,目前以太坊 (ETH) 的交易价格为 2,677 美元。
Meanwhile, U.S. investors have shown renewed interest in top digital assets. BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw $1.11 billion in inflows this week, the largest since 19 July. ETH ETFs also attracted $84.6 million, marking the highest weekly inflows since 9 August. If this trend persists, the $70,000 BTC and $3,000 ETH price targets could be within reach.
与此同时,美国投资者对顶级数字资产重新表现出了兴趣。 BTC 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 本周流入 11.1 亿美元,为 7 月 19 日以来最大流入量。 ETH ETF 也吸引了 8460 万美元,创下 8 月 9 日以来的最高周流入量。如果这种趋势持续下去,70,000 美元的 BTC 和 3,000 美元的 ETH 价格目标可能是可以实现的。
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