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自周五触及 66,000 美元以来,比特币 (BTC) 一直保持在该价格区域,在过去一天没有出现重大价格变动。
Bitcoin (BTC) price has stalled in the $65,000 to $66,000 range following a fast price rally over the last week. As BTC price approached the $68,000 resistance, buying pressure slowed down, indicating a possible market top. However, a CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted another market condition that could put Bitcoin in a “high-risk” zone.
继上周价格快速上涨后,比特币 (BTC) 价格已停滞在 65,000 美元至 66,000 美元区间。随着 BTC 价格接近 68,000 美元阻力位,买盘压力放缓,表明市场可能见顶。然而,一位 CryptoQuant 分析师强调了另一种可能将比特币置于“高风险”区域的市场状况。
Bitcoin market in ‘high-risk’ zone as open interest hits $19B
未平仓合约触及 $19B,比特币市场处于“高风险”区域
In a Saturday “Quicktake” post on CryptoQuant, an analyst under the username maartunn shared a concerning market condition, urging traders to avoid opening any new long positions. Maartunn’s analysis is based on the high level of Open Interest in the BTC market, which currently stands at $19.1 billion.
在 CryptoQuant 上周六的“Quicktake”帖子中,一位用户名为 maartunn 的分析师分享了令人担忧的市场状况,敦促交易者避免开设任何新的多头头寸。 Maartunn 的分析基于 BTC 市场的高水平未平仓合约,目前未平仓合约金额为 191 亿美元。
Open Interest measures the total value of outstanding contracts on an asset. A high Open Interest indicates increased speculative activity by traders, which often involves a leveraged position. In simpler terms, many traders are currently speculating on Bitcoin’s future price movements.
未平仓合约衡量资产未平仓合约的总价值。高未平仓量表明交易者的投机活动增加,这通常涉及杠杆头寸。简而言之,许多交易者目前正在猜测比特币未来的价格走势。
While an elevated Open Interest shows increased market interest, it also puts BTC in a fragile position as most trading positions are usually opened with leverage. According to maartunn, Bitcoin’s Open Interest has crossed the $18 billion mark six times since March 2024.
虽然未平仓量增加表明市场兴趣增加,但这也使 BTC 处于脆弱的境地,因为大多数交易头寸通常都是通过杠杆开仓的。据 maartunn 称,自 2024 年 3 月以来,比特币的未平仓合约已六次突破 180 亿美元大关。
Each time, Bitcoin reached a local peak price, suggesting that as Open Interest rose, BTC price temporarily rallied before experiencing a significant pullback. With Bitcoin’s Open Interest crossing $18 billion once again, maartunn advises traders against taking any long positions.
每次,比特币价格都会达到局部峰值,这表明随着未平仓量的增加,比特币价格会暂时上涨,然后出现大幅回调。随着比特币的未平仓合约再次突破 180 亿美元,maartunn 建议交易者不要持有任何多头头寸。
This means that traders should not speculate on BTC price going higher as the market conditions are not favorable for such trades. If the majority of traders are speculating on Bitcoin price rising, a market top could be forming.
这意味着交易者不应投机比特币价格上涨,因为市场条件不利于此类交易。如果大多数交易者都猜测比特币价格上涨,那么市场顶部可能正在形成。
However, if the market does not correct and continues to push BTC price higher, a large amount of liquidation can induce massive selling pressure, which could rapidly drive BTC’s price down. Therefore, investors are advised to wait for clearer signals before engaging in the market.
然而,如果市场不回调,继续推高BTC价格,大量爆仓会引发巨大的抛售压力,从而导致BTC价格迅速下跌。因此,建议投资者等待更明确的信号后再入市。
BTC in reaccumulation phase A separate analysis by crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that Bitcoin is now in a reaccumulation range. This indicates that the crypto market leader is currently consolidating following its recent price rally.
比特币处于重新积累阶段加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 的另一项分析表明,比特币目前处于重新积累区间。这表明加密货币市场的领导者在最近的价格上涨之后目前正在整合。
This reaccumulation is often a pause before BTC resumes its bullish trajectory. Hence, this reaccumulation likely presents investors with an opportunity for Bitcoin acquisition in anticipation of a price rise.
在比特币恢复其看涨轨迹之前,这种重新积累通常是一个暂停。因此,这种重新积累可能为投资者提供了因预期价格上涨而购买比特币的机会。
At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $65,808, down 0.40% in the last day. Performances on larger time frames remain positive with gains of 4.28% and 11.43% in the last seven and thirty days, respectively. BTC still ranks as the largest digital asset with a market cap of $1.3 billion and a market dominance of 56.5%.
截至发稿,比特币继续交易于 65,808 美元,较上一交易日下跌 0.40%。较大时间范围内的表现仍然乐观,过去 7 天和 30 天分别上涨 4.28% 和 11.43%。 BTC 仍以 13 亿美元的市值和 56.5% 的市场主导地位位居第一。
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