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比特币稳定在 104,500 美元,继续其上升趋势,并接近另一个历史高点 (ATH)。
Bitcoin price continues to hold above critical support levels, closing in on another all-time high (ATH) with strong bullish technical indicators. However, a surprising trend has emerged — nearly 60% of traders on Binance are taking short positions against Bitcoin.
比特币价格继续保持在关键支撑位之上,并以强劲的看涨技术指标逼近另一个历史高点(ATH)。然而,一个令人惊讶的趋势出现了——币安上近 60% 的交易者都在做空比特币。
This growing bearish sentiment is juxtaposed with rising short liquidations, suggesting that Bitcoin’s price may continue its climb.
这种日益增长的看跌情绪与空头清算的增加并存,表明比特币的价格可能会继续攀升。
Traders Are Betting Against Bitcoin
交易员正在做空比特币
Despite Bitcoin’s strong performance, the long/short ratio on Binance shows that a significant portion of the market remains skeptical. According to data from Coinglass, around 60% of traders are holding short positions against Bitcoin.
尽管比特币表现强劲,但币安上的多头/空头比率表明,很大一部分市场仍持怀疑态度。 Coinglass 的数据显示,约 60% 的交易者持有比特币空头头寸。
This reflects cautious sentiment, with many traders hedging against potential price corrections or concerns that Bitcoin may be overbought. Interestingly, this bearish bias is developing while Bitcoin is trading above key moving averages, including the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. These technical signals suggest that bulls are in control, and Bitcoin’s price could push higher if it successfully breaches resistance at $105,000.
这反映出谨慎的情绪,许多交易者对冲潜在的价格调整或对比特币可能超买的担忧。有趣的是,当比特币交易价格高于关键移动平均线(包括 50 天和 200 天移动平均线)时,这种看跌偏见正在发展。这些技术信号表明多头处于控制之中,如果比特币成功突破 105,000 美元的阻力位,其价格可能会走高。
Short Liquidations Are Increasing
空头清算正在增加
One of the most striking developments in recent days has been the increase in short liquidations. Over the past two trading sessions, short positions have been liquidated at a higher rate than long positions, with short liquidations reaching $68.78 million, compared to just $13 million for long positions.
最近几天最引人注目的事态发展之一是空头清算的增加。过去两个交易日,空头头寸的清算率高于多头头寸,空头头寸清算额达到 6878 万美元,而多头头寸仅为 1300 万美元。
This spike in short liquidations indicates that bearish traders, who anticipated a pullback, have been caught off guard by Bitcoin’s ability to hold strong above key psychological levels. As the price continues to rise, more short positions could be forced to liquidate, further fueling Bitcoin’s upward momentum.
空头清算的激增表明,预计会出现回调的看跌交易者对比特币坚守在关键心理水平之上的能力感到措手不及。随着价格持续上涨,更多空头头寸可能被迫清算,进一步推动比特币的上涨势头。
Bullish Technical Indicators
看涨技术指标
Bitcoin’s technical indicators are reinforcing the bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 67.65, which indicates that Bitcoin is nearing overbought territory. However, RSI levels near 70 often signal short-term corrections, and Bitcoin’s ability to maintain current price levels could invalidate immediate bearish concerns.
比特币的技术指标正在强化看涨前景。相对强度指数(RSI)目前为 67.65,这表明比特币已接近超买区域。然而,RSI 水平接近 70 通常预示着短期调整,而比特币维持当前价格水平的能力可能会消除当前的看跌担忧。
Bitcoin’s price action is also well-supported by its Golden Cross, a pattern that occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. This is seen as a bullish signal and has historically been followed by sustained upward momentum.
比特币的价格走势也得到了黄金交叉的良好支撑,黄金交叉是当 50 日移动平均线穿越 200 日移动平均线时出现的一种模式。这被视为看涨信号,并且历史上一直伴随着持续的上涨势头。
Resistance and Support Levels to Watch
值得关注的阻力位和支撑位
Traders will closely monitor Bitcoin’s performance around key resistance and support levels. The next major resistance lies at $105,000, and a close above this level could open the door to testing $110,000. On the other hand, immediate support is found around $100,000, providing a safety net for Bitcoin in case of a price pullback.
交易者将密切关注比特币在关键阻力位和支撑位附近的表现。下一个主要阻力位于 105,000 美元,收盘价高于该水平可能会打开测试 110,000 美元的大门。另一方面,在 100,000 美元左右找到了即时支撑,为比特币在价格回调时提供了安全网。
Can Bears Withstand Bitcoin’s Momentum?
空头能承受比特币的势头吗?
The increasing number of short positions, combined with rising short liquidations, indicates that bears may be on the losing side of this trade. With Bitcoin holding above critical support levels and technical indicators pointing to further upside potential, the market could be primed for additional gains if short traders are forced to capitulate.
空头头寸数量的增加,加上空头清算的增加,表明空头可能会在这次交易中处于亏损的一方。由于比特币保持在关键支撑位之上,并且技术指标显示出进一步的上涨潜力,如果空头交易者被迫投降,市场可能会准备好进一步上涨。
The divergence between sentiment and price action suggests that Bitcoin’s bulls remain firmly in control, and any continued price increases could put even more pressure on bearish traders. Investors should keep an eye on the resistance at $105,000 and support at $100,000 to gauge Bitcoin’s next move.
情绪和价格走势之间的分歧表明,比特币多头仍然牢牢控制着比特币,任何持续的价格上涨都可能给看跌交易者带来更大的压力。投资者应关注 105,000 美元的阻力位和 100,000 美元的支撑位,以判断比特币的下一步走势。
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