分析师：比特币（BTC）可能已进入市场周期阶段，即将大幅上涨

一位分析了比特币今年减半前修正的分析师表示，比特币可能已经进入了市场周期阶段，即将大幅上涨。

A crypto analyst who correctly predicted Bitcoin’s pre-halving correction earlier this year now believes that BTC may be entering a market cycle phase characterized by steep rallies.

一位在今年早些时候正确预测了比特币减半前修正的加密货币分析师现在认为，比特币可能正在进入一个以大幅上涨为特征的市场周期阶段。

The analyst, known as Rekt Capital, has 100,000 subscribers on YouTube. He tells them that Bitcoin breaking above the resistance zone formed around the 2021 cycle high of just below the $70,000 price point is “essentially the very first signal to kickstarting the parabolic phase.”

这位名为 Rekt Capital 的分析师在 YouTube 上拥有 10 万订阅者。他告诉他们，比特币突破 2021 年周期高点（略低于 70,000 美元的价格点）附近形成的阻力区“本质上是启动抛物线阶段的第一个信号”。

“We see the analogous level like this across cycles. In 2020 and 2021 this was the level: $19,000, roughly speaking $20,000. That was the old all-time high resistance.

“我们在各个周期中都看到了类似的水平。 2020 年和 2021 年的水平是：19,000 美元，大致来说是 20,000 美元。那是旧的历史最高阻力。

Here in this cycle, the analogous level was $69,000. And in the previous cycle of 2017 it was of course a little bit lower than that – $1,200 approximately speaking.

在本周期中，类似水平为 69,000 美元。 2017 年的上一个周期当然比这个要低一些——大约是 1,200 美元。

And so in each of these cycles breaking the old all-time high major resistance, that first monthly candle is the very early sign of that parabolic phase of the cycle beginning.”

因此，在每个突破旧的历史最高主要阻力的周期中，第一个月度蜡烛是周期开始的抛物线阶段的早期迹象。”

According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin could experience several months of upside based on historical precedent.

根据 Rekt Capital 的说法，根据历史先例，比特币可能会经历几个月的上涨。

“We’ve seen in the past that we can see quite a few monthly candles produced in the coming months. So in this cycle over here [2017] it was… nine months worth of upside.

“我们过去已经看到，未来几个月我们可以看到每月生产相当多的蜡烛。因此，在[2017]这个周期中，这是……九个月的上涨空间。

In this cycle in 2020/2021… we saw nine months of upside…

在 2020/2021 年的这个周期中……我们看到了九个月的上涨……

So if we’re talking about nine months of upside, 12 months of upside this is month one [November of 2024] out of a possible nine at the least or a possible 12 at most.”

因此，如果我们谈论的是 9 个月的上涨空间，那么这就是 [2024 年 11 月] 12 个月的上涨空间，至少可能是 9 个月，最多可能是 12 个月。”

On when Bitcoin could hit the cycle peak, Rekt Capital says,

关于比特币何时能达到周期峰值，Rekt Capital 表示：

“We’re going to see this parabolic upside take place deep into 2025. And then we’re going to have to consider a bear market coming after 2025, the majority of which is going to play out in 2026.”

“我们将看到这种抛物线式的上涨将持续到 2025 年。然后我们将不得不考虑 2025 年之后的熊市，其中大部分将在 2026 年结束。”

Bitcoin is trading at $96,718 at time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 96,718 美元。