谁对比特币更有利？

距离美国总统大选只剩下四天了，加密货币爱好者希望他们喜欢的候选人的胜利将导致比特币（BTC）价格上涨。

As the US presidential election nears its conclusion, crypto enthusiasts are speculating on the impact of the candidates' victories on the Bitcoin (BTC) price.

随着美国总统选举接近尾声，加密货币爱好者正在猜测候选人的胜利对比特币（BTC）价格的影响。

Both candidates are courting the 'crypto voting bloc,' with a significant proportion of voters more likely to support a candidate with a pro-crypto stance.

两位候选人都在讨好“加密货币投票集团”，其中很大一部分选民更有可能支持支持加密货币立场的候选人。

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan stated in a recent interview with Yahoo! Finance that the most crucial outcome for BTC is simply that “the elections happen.”

Bitwise 首席信息官 Matt Hougan 在最近接受 Yahoo! 采访时表示财经认为，对比特币来说最重要的结果就是“选举发生”。

Hougan stressed that regardless of a Trump or Harris win, the regulatory environment for crypto is witnessing steady improvement. He attributed the recent positive movement in digital asset prices to a maturing regulatory framework.

霍根强调，无论特朗普还是哈里斯获胜，加密货币的监管环境都在稳步改善。他将近期数字资产价格的积极走势归因于成熟的监管框架。

The Bitwise CIO mentioned that although, in the short-term, the crypto market favors a Trump victory over a Harris victory, Bitcoin “really does not need Washington to succeed.”

Bitwise CIO 提到，尽管从短期来看，加密市场有利于特朗普获胜，而不是哈里斯获胜，但比特币“确实不需要华盛顿才能成功”。

The crypto executive added that regardless of the election results, institutional investment in the digital assets space is on the rise, which is evident from the strong Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETF) inflows in recent days.

这位加密货币高管补充说，无论选举结果如何，数字资产领域的机构投资都在增加，这从最近几天比特币现货交易所交易基金（ETF）的强劲流入就可以看出。

When asked about regulatory clarity's role in crypto, Hougan pointed out that it impacts altcoins more than BTC. He anticipates a greater chance of an altcoin rally than a BTC rally if Trump wins. Hougan added,

当被问及监管透明度在加密货币中的作用时，Hougan 指出，它对山寨币的影响大于 BTC。他预计，如果特朗普获胜，山寨币上涨的机会比比特币上涨的可能性更大。侯根补充道，

“This is the best single time to invest in Bitcoin from a risk-adjusted perspective. All of the major existential risks of Bitcoin have been washed away. We have an ETF, we have institutions. They are coming into the space. The biggest catalyst is that move of institutional adoption.”

“从风险调整的角度来看，这是投资比特币的最佳时机。比特币的所有主要生存风险都已被消除。我们有ETF，我们有机构。他们正在进入太空。最大的催化剂是机构采用的举措。”

Bitcoin Price Awaits New ATH Attempt

比特币价格等待新的 ATH 尝试

At the time of writing, BTC trades at $70,840, aiming for another attempt at reaching a new ATH. Despite the several attempts in the past, BTC has failed to sustain the levels.

截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 70,840 美元，目标是再次尝试达到新的 ATH。尽管过去曾多次尝试，但比特币未能维持在当前水平。

Rising geopolitical tensions worldwide add to the volatility of an already volatile asset, which may discourage the more risk-averse investors from buying more BTC.

全球地缘政治紧张局势加剧加剧了本已波动的资产的波动性，这可能会阻止更多规避​​风险的投资者购买更多比特币。

However, the existing macroeconomic uncertainties are not deterring crypto analysts from sharing their ambitious price targets for the top cryptocurrency.

然而，现有的宏观经济不确定性并没有阻止加密货币分析师分享他们对顶级加密货币的雄心勃勃的价格目标。

Recently, analysts at trading firm Bernstein predicted that a $200,000 BTC by 2025 end might be a conservative target.

最近，交易公司 Bernstein 的分析师预测，到 2025 年底，比特币价格达到 20 万美元可能是一个保守的目标。

That said, weekly charts show BTC attempting several runs past its ATH, only to drop each time.

也就是说，周线图显示 BTC 多次尝试突破其最高点，但每次都以下跌告终。