新的XRP交易所交易資金可能會在第一周吸引8億美元

這些是加密市場觀察家（例如摩根大通）做出的一些預測

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has acknowledged several applications for exchange-traded funds tracking XRP from asset managers like Bitwise, 21Shares, and Grayscale.

美國證券交易委員會已經確認了來自Bitwise，21shares和Grayscale的資產經理的交易所交易資金的幾項申請。

The regulator’s recognition comes after a period of rejecting new crypto ETF applications and signals that things may be changing.

監管機構的認可是在一段時間拒絕新的加密ETF應用程序並表示情況可能在發生變化之後的一段時間。

Previously, the SEC used its authority to quickly shut down any applications for spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, and told applicants to withdraw them almost as soon as they filed them.

以前，SEC利用其權力迅速關閉了現場比特幣和以太坊ETF的任何申請，並告訴申請人在提交時幾乎將其撤回。

But the agency has until mid-October to make its final decision on these applications.

但是該機構必須在10月中旬之前就這些申請做出最終決定。

Here’s what experts from JPMorgan, Bitwise, and others say to expect.

這是JPMorgan，Bitwise和其他人所說的期望的專家。

If new XRP ETFs manage to lure over $85 million in their first week, that would be “a relative success,” Bloomberg Intelligence ETF Analyst James Seyffart said.

彭博情報ETF分析師James Seyffart說，如果新的XRP ETF在其第一周誘使超過8500萬美元，那將是“相對成功”。

The spot market for XRP is about 7.5% the size of Bitcoin, Seyffart said.

Seyffart說，XRP的現貨市場約為比特幣的7.5％。

“If the XRP ETF’s are able to see volume in flows that are near or around 7.5% or more of the Bitcoin ETFs’ launch numbers, I would consider them to be a relative success,” he said. “Bitcoin ETFs saw about $14 billion in trading volume and $1.13 billion in flows.”

他說：“如果XRP ETF能夠在比特幣ETF的發射號碼接近或更多的7.5％或以上的流量中看到音量，我認為它們是相對成功的。” “比特幣ETF的交易量約為140億美元，流量為11.3億美元。”

Donald Trump has pledged to relax crypto laws and to stop the government’s crackdown on digital assets.

唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）已承諾放鬆加密法律，並阻止政府對數字資產的鎮壓。

Since Trump’s inauguration, that has translated to him issuing executive orders, making pro-crypto appointments, and the SEC halting some of its cases against industry players.

自從特朗普就職典禮以來，這轉化為他發出執行命令，執行任命任命，以及SEC停止對行業參與者的一些案件。

If that translates to the markets watchdog dropping its long-running case against Ripple, then that will be another bullish sign for crypto, Seyffart said.

Seyffart說，如果這轉化為市場看門狗對Ripple的長期案件，那將是Crypto的另一個看漲標誌。

“The positive momentum in lawsuits with Coinbase and Robinhood are probably a good sign there will be some sort of solution in the coming months,” said Seyffart.

Seyffart說：“與共同基礎和羅比林的訴訟中的積極勢頭可能是一個好兆頭，在接下來的幾個月中，將會有某種解決方案。”

Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at asset manager Bitwise, is bullish on the prospects of XRP ETFs getting the nod from the SEC.

資產管理經理Bitwise首席投資官Matt Hougan對XRP ETF的前景看漲。

Speaking to CNBC, Hougan steered clear of discussing Bitwise’s application directly, but maintained that “there’s substantial demand for an XRP ETF.”

在接受CNBC的講話時，Hougan避免了直接討論Bitwise的應用，但堅持認為“對XRP ETF有很大的需求。”

Without referencing specific numbers, Hougan highlighted the strong community of Ripple and XRP, and the lighter-touch approach to crypto that Washington DC has taken in the wake of Trump’s re-election.

在沒有提及具體數字的情況下，霍根強調了Ripple和XRP的強大社區，以及在特朗普連任後，華盛頓特區採取的對加密貨幣的較輕方法。

In January, JPMorgan’s analysts predicted that up to $8 billion will flow towards XRP ETFs during their first year.

一月份，摩根大通的分析師預測，在第一年，最高80億美元將流向XRP ETF。

However, they remained bearish on altcoin ETFs in general.

但是，它們一般而言仍然是altcoin eTF的看跌。

“We don’t see investor interest or demand great enough to make these future altcoin ETP launches meaningful for the cryptocurrency ecosystem,” JPMorgan analysts said.

摩根大通分析師說：“我們認為投資者的興趣或需求不足以使這些未來的Altcoin ETP對加密貨幣生態系統有意義。”

Luca Sorlini, head of products at virtual asset service provider Northstake, expected new XRP ETFs to attract between $400 million and $800 million in their first week of trading.

虛擬資產服務提供商Northstake產品負責人Luca Sorlini預計新的XRP ETF將在交易的第一周吸引4億至8億美元。

He extrapolated those figures from looking at the flows seen in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

他從觀察點比特幣和以太坊ETF中看到的流程中推斷出那些數字。

Although, Sorlini did caveat that those figures would rely on how interested institutions are in the new funds, how many funds there are, and what the overall market conditions at launch are.

雖然，索利尼（Sorlini）確實警告說，這些數字將依靠機構對新資金的興趣感，有多少資金以及發射的整體市場狀況。

If an XRP ETF is approved, market analysts expect the crypto’s price to surge.

如果批准XRP ETF，市場分析師預計加密貨幣的價格會上漲。

“This is likely to result in a surge in price if prior examples of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF approvals are to be taken into account,” said Jacob Joseph, senior research analyst at crypto data provider CCData.

Crypto數據提供商CCDATA高級研究分析師Jacob Joseph說：“如果要考慮比特幣和以太坊ETF批准的示例，這可能會導致價格上漲。”

Bitcoin soared 150% over the course of last year after the SEC approved Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024.

在2024年1月SEC批准比特幣ETF之後，去年比特幣飆升了150％。