Polkadot (DOT) 價格預測：隨著 DOT 重新測試 8.60 美元的關鍵支撐，歷史會重演嗎？

Polkadot [DOT] 已成功收盤於週線圖上的關鍵阻力位 8.60 美元之上。這一級別在歷史上曾發揮過舉足輕重的作用

Cryptocurrency price analysis platform Rekt Capital has highlighted a crucial level of support for Polkadot [DOT] that could determine its next price direction.

加密貨幣價格分析平台 Rekt Capital 強調了對 Polkadot [DOT] 的關鍵支援水平，這可能決定其下一個價格方向。

According to Rekt Capital, DOT’s price action at this level has historically influenced the cryptocurrency’s price trajectory.

據 Rekt Capital 稱，DOT 在這一水平上的價格走勢在歷史上影響了加密貨幣的價格軌跡。

The analysis showed that a successful retest of this level could lead to significant gains for DOT, whereas a failure to hold this support could result in further price declines.

分析顯示，成功重新測試該水準可能會導致 DOT 大幅上漲，而未能維持此支撐可能會導致價格進一步下跌。

At press time, Polkadot was trading at $8.86, with a 4.24% gain in the last 24 hours and a 16.97% rise over the past seven days.

截至發稿，波卡交易價格為 8.86 美元，近 24 小時漲幅為 4.24%，近 7 天漲幅為 16.97%。

The cryptocurrency had a 24-hour trading volume of $1.03 billion, and a circulating supply of 1.5 billion, giving it a market capitalization of $13.48 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

根據 CoinMarketCap 的數據，該加密貨幣的 24 小時交易量為 10.3 億美元，流通量為 15 億，市值為 134.8 億美元。

The analysis highlighted that in 2021, a similar retest of this level led to a rally to new all-time highs above $50.

該分析強調，2021 年，對該水準的類似重新測試導致價格反彈至 50 美元以上的歷史新高。

However, earlier in 2023, DOT failed to hold this support, leading to a steep decline to its yearly low of $4.15.

然而，2023 年初，DOT 未能守住這項支撐，導致價格急劇下跌至 4.15 美元的年度低點。

This level has historically played a pivotal role in determining DOT’s price trajectory.

從歷史上看，這一水平在確定 DOT 的價格軌跡方面發揮了關鍵作用。

Should the retest succeed, we can expect DOT to aim for the next major resistance at $12.61.

如果重新測試成功，我們預計 DOT 將瞄準下一個主要阻力位 12.61 美元。

From its current position, this marks a potential 101.53% gain, based on historical price behavior.

根據歷史價格行為，從目前位置來看，這標誌著潛在的 101.53% 收益。

However, if $8.60 fails to hold, traders could see the price revisit lower levels, including the $4.15 support.

然而，如果未能守住 8.60 美元，交易員可能會看到價格重新回到較低水平，包括 4.15 美元的支撐位。

Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Open Interest (OI) metrics also indicated bullish momentum for Polkadot.

相對強度指數 (RSI) 和未平倉合約 (OI) 指標也顯示 Polkadot 的看漲動能。

The RSI was positioned in overbought territory, indicating strong demand for the cryptocurrency.

RSI 位於超買區域，顯示對加密貨幣的強勁需求。

Meanwhile, the OI showed a rise and was positively correlated with the price movement, further suggesting trader preference for long positions.

同時，持倉量呈上升趨勢，並與價格走勢呈正相關，進一步顯示交易者偏好多頭部位。

OI had a minimal 8.74% increase to $499.25 million, while the 24-hour trading volume showed a moderate rise of 22.03% to $915.97 million.

OI 微幅上漲 8.74%，至 4.9925 億美元，而 24 小時交易量小幅上漲 22.03%，至 9.1597 億美元。

Additionally, the OI-Weighted Funding Rate for DOT remained positive since mid-November, reflecting strong demand for long positions.

此外，自 11 月中旬以來，DOT 的 OI 加權融資利率一直保持正值，反映出對多頭部位的強勁需求。

Spikes in funding rates on the 12th and 18th of November indicated heightened bullish sentiment. This aligns with the ongoing breakout above $8.60.

11 月 12 日和 18 日融資利率飆升表明看漲情緒高漲。這與持續突破 8.60 美元相一致。

On-chain activity showed mixed signals for Polkadot.

Polkadot 的鏈上活動顯示出好壞參半的訊號。

According to DefiLlama, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in Polkadot stood at $55.89 million, with a 24-hour decrease of 27.44%.

據 DefiLlama 數據顯示，波卡總鎖定價值（TVL）為 5,589 萬美元，24 小時下跌 27.44%。

The network’s stablecoin market capitalization was $89.13 million.

該網絡的穩定幣市值為 8,913 萬美元。

Despite the TVL decline, the positive funding rates and rising open interest suggested traders were positioning for further upside.

儘管TVL下降，但積極的融資利率和不斷上升的未平倉合約表明交易者正在為進一步上漲做好準備。

Technically, Polkadot recently broke out of a bullish falling wedge pattern, which often precedes upward momentum.

從技術上講，Polkadot 最近突破了看漲的下降楔形模式，該模式通常先於上升勢頭。

This breakout aligns with the move above $8.60, reinforcing optimism among traders.

此次突破與 8.60 美元上方的走勢一致，增強了交易者的樂觀情緒。

Market participants are now watching the monthly close, which could strengthen the breakout if it holds above $8.60.

市場參與者現在正在關注月度收盤價，如果其保持在 8.60 美元上方，可能會加強突破。