包裝工隊應該放棄他們的開球策略

這在當時是有道理的。包裝工隊推遲開球是在感恩節走進真正的獅子隊的巢穴時發生的。馬特·拉弗勒爾決定違背類型和傳統智慧。包裝工隊贏得了擲硬幣，並選擇接球，而不是將開球選項推遲到下半場。

The Green Bay Packers have made a habit of receiving the opening kickoff this season, a strategy that paid off handsomely in 2023 but appears to be less effective in 2024.

綠灣包裝工隊本賽季已經養成了接受開球的習慣，這一策略在 2023 年獲得了豐厚的回報，但在 2024 年似乎效果不佳。

The Packers won the coin toss and chose to receive in four of the five games they won the toss this season. They deferred once, in their Week 2 victory over the Minnesota Vikings. Their opponents elected to defer in the five games they won the coin toss.

包裝工隊贏得了擲硬幣，並在本賽季贏得的五場比賽中選擇了四場接球。他們在第二週擊敗明尼蘇達維京人隊時推遲了一次。他們的對手在他們贏得擲硬幣的五場比賽中選擇推遲。

Combined, the Packers have had the ball first in nine of their ten games. In those nine games, the Packers have scored 20 points on their opening drives. Their opponents have similarly scored 20 points in their nine drives to open the 2nd half.

合計而言，包裝工隊在十場比賽中的九場中都擁有球權。在這 9 場比賽中，包裝工隊在開局就得到了 20 分。他們的對手在下半場開場的九次進攻中同樣得到了 20 分。

Their opponents have had four “double-up” opportunities. They scored in their final possession of the first half in all four, totaling 16 points. Philadelphia and Chicago have successfully pulled off the double-up by scoring on their opening possession of the 2nd half, as well.

他們的對手有四次「雙倍」機會。他們在上半場最後一回合的四場比賽都得分，總共得到16分。費城隊和芝加哥隊也在下半場開場得分，成功實現了雙殺。

The Packers are 5-4 in those nine games. Having the ball first certainly hasn’t been a disadvantage for the Packers. They have a net 4-point disadvantage in the opening and closing drives of the 20 halves of football they’ve played so far. Over a ten-game sample, that’s pretty meaningless.

包裝工隊在這九場比賽中取得了 5 勝 4 負的戰績。首先擁有球權對於包裝工隊來說當然不是一個劣勢。迄今為止，他們已經踢了 20 場半場比賽，在開場和收場進攻中，他們淨落後 4 分。超過十場比賽的樣本，這是毫無意義的。

However, if you’re going against conventional wisdom in your decision-making process, you should see some advantage from it. Since they're not getting any advantage from receiving the opening kickoff, it’s probably time for Matt LaFleur to abandon the experiment and go back to deferring when winning the coin flip.

然而，如果您在決策過程中違背傳統智慧，您應該會從中看到一些優勢。由於他們沒有從開球中獲得任何優勢，因此馬特·拉弗勒爾可能是時候放棄實驗並在贏得拋硬幣時重新推遲。