隨著比特幣重回 10 萬美元，Memecoin 反彈，DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 看到有利的鏈上指標

由於世界上最大的數位資產比特幣（BTC）的短暫下跌，Memecoins 在本周初暴跌。

Memecoins suffered a blow at the start of the week in response to a brief downturn in Bitcoin (BTC), the world’s largest digital asset. Now that Bitcoin has reclaimed $100,000, the top three memecoins have begun to rebound. On Thursday, Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) posted slight gains, while PEPE corrected.

由於全球最大的數位資產比特幣（BTC）的短暫下跌，Memecoins 在本周初遭受了打擊。如今，比特幣已經重返 10 萬美元，前三名 memecoin 也開始反彈。週四，狗狗幣（DOGE）和柴犬幣（SHIB）小幅上漲，而 PEPE 則出現調整。

Favorable Onchain Metrics

有利的鏈上指標

Inspired by a bullish recovery, the market capitalization of the meme coin sector increased by 7% in the last 24 hours. According to CoinGecko data, the meme coin market capitalization now stands at $133 billion, while daily trading volume rose to $20.9 billion.

受看漲復甦的啟發，meme 幣板塊的市值在過去 24 小時內增長了 7%。根據 CoinGecko 數據，meme 幣市值目前為 1,330 億美元，每日交易量升至 209 億美元。

Onchain metrics even suggest further gains for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE. Dogecoin rose modestly on Thursday, trading around $0.41500, nearly 14% behind its 2024 high of $0.48434.

鏈上指標甚至顯示 DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 進一步上漲。狗狗幣週四小幅上漲，交易價格約為 0.41500 美元，較 2024 年高點 0.48434 美元上漲近 14%。

One interesting factor contributing to DOGE’s price recovery this week is the liquidation of over-leveraged trades across derivatives exchanges. According to Coinglass data, derivatives transaction volume has decreased by 34% in the last 24 hours. Within the same period, Open Interest (OI), or the value of open derivatives contracts across exchanges, increased by almost 5%.

本週促成 DOGE 價格回升的一個有趣因素是衍生性商品交易所過度槓桿交易的清算。 Coinglass 數據顯示，過去 24 小時內衍生性商品交易量下降了 34%。在同一時期內，未平倉合約 (OI)，即跨交易所未平倉衍生性商品合約的價值，成長了近 5%。

Another metric indicating an optimistic outlook is the Long-to-short ratio. This metric measures the balance of long (buy) and short (sell) positions on derivatives exchanges, including Binance and OKX, and exceeds 4.

另一個顯示樂觀前景的指標是多空比率。此指標衡量衍生性商品交易所（包括 Binance 和 OKX）的多頭（買入）和空頭（賣出）頭寸餘額，並且超過 4。

A reading higher than 1 means most traders are in long positions as the market sentiment is positive. The average long-to-short ratio is 0.9573, but derivatives traders are bullish on DOGE across exchanges.

讀數高於 1 意味著大多數交易者持有多頭頭寸，因為市場情緒積極。平均多空比為0.9573，但各交易所衍生性商品交易商都看好DOGE。

Meanwhile, SHIB and PEPE also recorded an increase in Open Interest on Thursday. 1000PEPE, a financial derivative created from PEPE/USD x 1000 Index price, experienced a 3.22% gain in OI. On the other hand, SHIB Open Interest increased slightly by less than 0.5%.

與此同時，SHIB 和 PEPE 週四的未平倉合約也有所增加。 1000PEPE 是一種根據 PEPE/USD x 1000 指數價格創建的金融衍生品，其 OI 上漲了 3.22%。另一方面，SHIB持倉量小幅成長，增幅不足0.5%。

How Bitcoin Profit-Taking Can Influence Dogecoin, SHIB, and PEPE

比特幣獲利回吐如何影響狗狗幣、SHIB 和 PEPE

Moreover, onchain Santiment data reveals positive spikes in the network realized profit/loss metric for Bitcoin. A large increase in this metric usually indicates intense profit-taking among traders.

此外，鏈上 Santiment 數據顯示，比特幣網路實現的損益指標呈現正峰值。此指標的大幅增加通常表示交易者的獲利了結程度很高。

In previous cycles, traders transferred capital from Bitcoin to altcoins after making profits, a process called “capital rotation.”

在先前的周期中，交易者在獲利後將資金從比特幣轉移到山寨幣，這個過程稱為「資本輪調」。

If the pattern repeats this cycle, Bitcoin traders could transfer accumulated profits to meme coins. This would further boost demand and strengthen the bullish case for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE. As of this writing, Bitcoin has been trading at $100,051, down 0.64% in the last 24 hours.

如果這種模式重複這個循環，比特幣交易者可以將累積的利潤轉移到迷因幣上。這將進一步提振需求並強化 DOGE、SHIB 和 PEPE 的看漲理由。截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 100,051 美元，在過去 24 小時內下跌 0.64%。

The recent price surges coincided with rising trading volumes, a positive indicator. The trading volume for DOGE, SHIB, and PEPE increased substantially between November 6 and December 10.

最近的價格飆升與交易量的增加同時發生，這是一個積極的指標。 DOGE、SHIB和PEPE的交易量在11月6日至12月10日期間大幅增加。

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has raised an optimistic forecast for DOGE. The analyst predicts a rise to $1.50 in the next four weeks and a longer-term target of $3, per a CNF report. Regarding SHIB, analysts predicted the memecoin could climb to reach $0.000033684 by year-end.

加密貨幣分析師 Ali Martinez 對 DOGE 提出了樂觀的預測。根據 CNF 的報告，分析師預計未來 4 週內價格將上漲至 1.50 美元，長期目標為 3 美元。關於 SHIB，分析師預測 memecoin 到年底可能會攀升至 0.000033,684 美元。

Finally, crypto analyst Javon Marks disclosed in a CNF report that PEPE’s recent break from a falling wedge pattern points to a potential 65% rally.

最後，加密貨幣分析師 Javon Marks 在 CNF 報告中透露，PEPE 最近突破下降楔形模式，預示著潛在的 65% 反彈。

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