卡瑪拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）比唐納德·特朗普（Donald Trump）更適合比特幣嗎？

業界的支持最明顯地傾向於前總統唐納德·川普，在經歷了多年的懷疑之後，他強烈擁抱加密貨幣。

While U.S. presidential candidates Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have yet to officially announce their stance on cryptocurrency, analysts at VanEck have already weighed in on the matter.

儘管美國總統候選人唐納德·川普和卡馬拉·哈里斯尚未正式宣布他們對加密貨幣的立場，但 VanEck 的分析師已經對此事發表了看法。

According to the company’s analysts, both candidates would likely continue the current economic policies, which they believe would weaken the U.S. dollar and bolster Bitcoin adoption.

該公司分析師表示，兩位候選人都可能會繼續當前的經濟政策，他們認為這將削弱美元並促進比特幣的採用。

However, they also noted that a Harris presidency might be even better for Bitcoin because it would accelerate the structural issues that drive Bitcoin adoption in the first place.

然而，他們也指出，哈里斯擔任總統可能對比特幣更好，因為它首先會加速推動比特幣採用的結構性問題的解決。

Should that happen, they believe Bitcoin’s unique regulatory clarity will likely make it even more competitive than other digital assets.

如果發生這種情況，他們相信比特幣獨特的監管清晰度可能會使其比其他數位資產更具競爭力。

“As inflation and currency devaluation continue challenging fiat monetary systems, Bitcoin can serve as a vital hedge,” the strategists added.

策略師補充說：“隨著通貨膨脹和貨幣貶值繼續挑戰法定貨幣體系，比特幣可以作為重要的對沖工具。”

Still, Sigel and Frankovitz are of the opinion that the crypto industry as a whole, not just Bitcoin, would benefit from a Trump presidency for a second term.

儘管如此，西格爾和法蘭科維茨認為，整個加密產業，而不僅僅是比特幣，都將受益於川普的第二任期總統任期。

“Conversely, We believe a Trump presidency is generally bullish for the entire crypto ecosystem, as it would likely produce more deregulation and business-friendly policies — perhaps particularly so for crypto entrepreneurs, who regulators have increasingly scrutinized in the past four years,” the report said.

「相反，我們認為川普擔任總統總體上看好整個加密貨幣生態系統，因為它可能會產生更多的放鬆管制和有利於商業的政策——對於加密貨幣企業家來說尤其如此，監管機構在過去四年裡對他們進行了越來越多的審查。

The former U.S. president used to slam crypto as a “scam,” but has since embraced non-fungible tokens (NFTs), Bitcoin, and has even debuted his own decentralized finance (DeFi) project called World Liberty Financial.

這位美國前總統曾經將加密貨幣視為“騙局”，但此後開始擁抱不可替代代幣（NFT）和比特幣，甚至推出了自己的去中心化金融（DeFi）項目，名為 World Liberty Financial。

Trump, who spoke at the July Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tenn., used Bitcoin a couple of days ago to pay for burgers at the PubKey bar in New York City.

川普在田納西州納許維爾舉行的 7 月比特幣 2024 年會議上發表講話，幾天前使用比特幣在紐約市的 PubKey 酒吧購買漢堡。

Bitcoin To Hit $200K In 2025 Regardless Of Whether Trump Or Harris Wins Election

無論川普還是哈里斯贏得選舉，比特幣都將在 2025 年達到 20 萬美元

In any case, the analysts believe Bitcoin will thrive over the long term regardless of who wins the U.S. presidential election in November.

無論如何，分析師認為，無論誰贏得 11 月的美國總統大選，比特幣都將長期繁榮。

“Regardless of the election outcome, the trend of growing fiscal deficits and rising national debt will likely continue. This suggests a weakening of the U.S. dollar, a macroeconomic environment in which Bitcoin has historically thrived,” the VanEck team said.

「無論選舉結果如何，財政赤字增加和國債增加的趨勢可能會持續下去。這表明美元走弱，而這是比特幣歷史上蓬勃發展的宏觀經濟環境。

Meanwhile, the global head of digital assets research at British multinational bank Standard Chartered, Geoff Kendrick, shares a similar sentiment. Kendrick expects the price of Bitcoin to skyrocket regardless of who becomes president, hitting as high as $200,000 by 2025-end.

同時，英國跨國銀行渣打銀行數位資產研究全球主管 Geoff Kendrick 也持有類似的觀點。 Kendrick 預計，無論誰當選總統，比特幣的價格都會飆升，到 2025 年底將達到 20 萬美元。

He cited three key catalysts primed to propel the BTC price to new lifetime highs next year, including the repealing of Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 (aka SAB-121) — a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission rule that discourages banks from offering crypto custody services — a notable increase in inflation, and massive inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

他列舉了明年推動 BTC 價格創下歷史新高的三個關鍵催化劑，包括廢除第 121 號員工會計公告（又稱 SAB-121）——美國證券交易委員會的一項規定，不鼓勵銀行提供加密貨幣託管服務- 通貨膨脹顯著上升，大量資金流入現貨比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）。

In conclusion, Kendrick predicted BTC would reach about $125,000 by the end of this year if Trump reclaims the Oval Office, but he also foresees the pioneer crypto reaching a historic high of $200,000 by the end of 2025 “no matter who’s in the White House.”

總而言之，肯德里克預測，如果川普重新入主橢圓形辦公室，到今年年底，比特幣的價格將達到約125,000 美元，但他還預計，到2025 年底，“無論誰入主白宮”，這一先鋒加密貨幣的價格將達到20 萬美元的歷史新高。