如果美國政府積累了戰略性比特幣儲備

全球加密投資公司Vaneck斷言，如果政府積累了比特幣的戰略儲備，它可以幫助抵消超過20萬億美元

Global crypto investment firm VanEck has asserted that if the government accumulates a strategic reserve of Bitcoin (BTC), it could help offset over $20 trillion in U.S. debt by 2049.

全球加密投資公司Vaneck斷言，如果政府積累了比特幣（BTC）的戰略儲備，則可以幫助抵消到2049年到2049年的20萬億美元債務。

In a Thursday report, VanEck (NYSE:VANC) detailed its projections, outlining how Bitcoin’s appreciation could significantly impact sovereign debt management.

Vaneck（NYSE：VANC）在周四的報告中詳細介紹了其預測，概述了比特幣的讚賞如何顯著影響主權債務管理。

“If the U.S. government follows the Bitcoin Act’s proposed path – accumulating 1 million BTC by 2029, our analysis suggests this reserve could offset around $21 trillion of national debt by 2049. That would amount to 18% of total U.S. debt at that time.” The firm noted.

“如果美國政府遵循《比特幣法案》提議的道路 - 到2029年累積了100萬BTC，我們的分析表明，到2049年，該儲備金可以抵消約21萬億美元的國債。當時，這將占美國總債務的18％。”該公司指出。

Notably, with U.S. national debt currently at $36.22 trillion, VanEck’s assumptions are based on a 5% annual increase, projecting total debt to reach around $116 trillion by 2049. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 25%, potentially reaching $21 million per BTC.

值得注意的是，由於美國國家債務目前為36.22萬億美元，Vaneck的假設是基於每年5％的增加，預計到2049年，總債務將達到約1,16萬億美元。同時，預計比特幣將以25％的複合年增長，潛在地達到每BTC的25％。

The firm’s latest statement builds on its December report, which predicted that a strategic Bitcoin reserve could help the U.S. reduce its national debt by 35% by 2050. At that time, the firm estimated Bitcoin could reach a price of $42.3 million by 2049, while federal obligations could grow to $119.3 trillion.

該公司的最新聲明是基於12月份的報告，該報告預測，戰略性比特幣儲備可以幫助美國到2050年將其國家債務減少35％。當時，該公司估計比特幣到2049年的價格可能達到4230萬美元，而聯邦義務可以增長至119.3萬億美元。

VanEck has also examined potential Bitcoin acquisitions at the state level. A report earlier this month estimated that state-level Bitcoin Strategic Reserve bills could lead to purchases totaling 242,787 BTC, roughly $23.5 billion, further integrating Bitcoin into public finance. The firm further suggested that pension fund investments could increase this figure.

Vaneck還檢查了州一級潛在的比特幣採集。本月早些時候的一份報告估計，州級比特幣戰略儲備賬單可能會導致購買總計242,787 BTC，約235億美元，將比特幣進一步整合到公共財務中。該公司進一步建議，養老基金投資可以增加這一數字。

The debate over the U.S. using Bitcoin to offset national debt gained momentum after Senator Cynthia Lummis, a prominent Bitcoin advocate, introduced the Bitcoin Act last July. The bill proposes establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve to strengthen the U.S. dollar.

在去年7月提出的《比特幣倡導者》參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）參議員辛西婭·盧米斯（Cynthia Lummis）去年7月推出了《比特幣法》之後，美國對美國的辯論取消了國債的勢頭。該法案建議建立一個戰略性的比特幣儲備，以加強美元。

Recently, Lummis clarified the act’s intent, stating, “To be clear, the ‘strategic’ purpose of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is to explicitly, strategically, pay down government debt hanging over the head of every American. Put future Americans on a better footing, unencumbered by debt that they never supported or benefited from.”

最近，盧米斯（Lummis）澄清了該法案的意圖，指出：“要明確，戰略比特幣儲備的'戰略性'目的是明確，戰略性地償還懸掛在每個美國人負責人的政府債務。使未來的美國人處於更好的立足點，不受他們從未支持或受益的債務所束縛。”

That said, as discussions around a Bitcoin reserve gain traction, prominent figures like Michael Saylor have voiced support, projecting its potential impact on the U.S. economy at $81 trillion. Meanwhile, former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao speculated that if a future Trump administration embraced such policies, it could trigger a “race between states in the digital gold market.”

也就是說，隨著關於比特幣儲備收益吸引力的討論，邁克爾·塞勒（Michael Saylor）等著名人物已經表達了支持，將其對美國經濟的潛在影響預測為81萬億美元。同時，前Binance首席執行官Changpeng Zhao推測，如果未來的特朗普政府採用此類政策，它可能會觸發“數字黃金市場之間的國家之間的競賽”。