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過去兩年,金融市場出現了令人驚訝的趨勢:比特幣和華爾街的聯繫似乎比以往任何時候都更加緊密。這種相關性引起了傳統金融專家和加密貨幣愛好者的興趣。
A surprising trend has emerged in financial markets over the last two years: Bitcoin and Wall Street appear to be more closely linked than ever before, a correlation that has intrigued both traditional finance experts and cryptocurrency enthusiasts alike. This phenomenon marks a new stage in the complex relationship between these two worlds, once perceived as being opposed.
過去兩年,金融市場出現了一個令人驚訝的趨勢:比特幣和華爾街的聯繫似乎比以往任何時候都更加緊密,這種相關性引起了傳統金融專家和加密貨幣愛好者的興趣。這一現象標誌著這兩個曾經被視為對立的世界之間的複雜關係進入了一個新階段。
Bitcoin increasingly linked to American stocks
比特幣與美國股票的連結越來越緊密
In 2024, the correlation between Bitcoin and American stocks reached new heights, according to data from IntoTheBlock.
根據 IntoTheBlock 的數據,2024 年,比特幣與美國股票之間的相關性達到了新的高度。
The correlation coefficient, which measures the relationship between the movements of the two assets, has not been this high since 2022. This comes as Visa and Mastercard are slowing down innovation.
自 2022 年以來,衡量兩種資產變動之間關係的相關係數從未如此高。
The finding is striking for an asset that has historically sought to be disconnected from traditional financial markets.
對於歷史上一直尋求與傳統金融市場脫節的資產來說,這項發現是驚人的。
Yet today, Bitcoin is increasingly reflecting the trends observed in major stock indices like the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq.
然而如今,比特幣越來越多地反映了標準普爾 500 指數或納斯達克指數等主要股指的趨勢。
This convergence has several implications for investors. Once viewed as a safe haven or a hedge against market fluctuations, Bitcoin now appears to be following the same economic cycles as stocks.
這種趨同對投資者有幾個影響。比特幣曾經被視為避風港或對沖市場波動的工具,但現在似乎遵循與股票相同的經濟週期。
The question arises: is it still the “digital gold” that many hoped for, or has it become a mere speculative asset influenced by the same forces as Wall Street? This correlation highlights the evolving financial landscape, where crypto and traditional finance are facing the same macroeconomic challenges.
問題來了:它仍然是許多人所希望的“數字黃金”,還是已經成為與華爾街同樣力量影響的投機資產?這種相關性凸顯了不斷變化的金融格局,其中加密貨幣和傳統金融面臨相同的宏觀經濟挑戰。
Common economic factors: a shared denominator
共同的經濟因素:共同的分母
One of the main drivers behind this correlation is the influence of global macroeconomic factors.
這種相關性背後的主要驅動因素之一是全球宏觀經濟因素的影響。
Both markets, Bitcoin and American stocks, are responding to the same economic announcements, such as interest rates, inflation, and decisions by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
比特幣和美國股市這兩個市場都對相同的經濟公告做出反應,例如利率、通膨和聯準會 (Fed) 的決定。
For instance, when the Fed announces a rate hike, it affects not only stocks but also Bitcoin, which was once considered to be resistant to these influences.
例如,當聯準會宣布升息時,它不僅影響股票,還影響比特幣,而比特幣曾被認為能夠抵抗這些影響。
This shift in behavior can be attributed to the changing profile of Bitcoin investors. More and more financial institutions, banks, and traditional investment funds have entered this market.
這種行為的轉變可以歸因於比特幣投資者形象的改變。越來越多的金融機構、銀行、傳統投資基金進入這個市場。
As a result, their investment strategies, which are often influenced by global economic outlooks, now impact Bitcoin movements. It thus becomes just another asset in a diversified portfolio, losing some of its unique nature.
因此,他們的投資策略通常受到全球經濟前景的影響,現在影響著比特幣的趨勢。因此,它只是多元化投資組合中的另一種資產,失去了一些獨特的性質。
However, this correlation does not necessarily imply the end of Bitcoin’s inherent volatility. On the contrary, it could amplify price fluctuations.
然而,這種相關性並不一定意味著比特幣固有波動性的結束。相反,它可能會放大價格波動。
If stocks experience a shock due to poor economic news, Bitcoin could follow suit, magnifying the market movements.
如果股市因糟糕的經濟消息而受到衝擊,比特幣可能會效仿,從而放大市場趨勢。
For investors, this new reality underscores the importance of monitoring economic indicators that influence both stocks and Bitcoin. Also, discover BlackRock making waves with $24 billion in Bitcoin!
對投資者來說,這個新現實強調了監控影響股票和比特幣的經濟指標的重要性。此外,您還可以發現貝萊德 (BlackRock) 憑藉價值 240 億美元的比特幣掀起波瀾!
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透過我們的「閱讀賺錢」計畫最大化您的 Cointribune 體驗!您閱讀的每一篇文章,均可賺取積分並獲得獨家獎勵。立即註冊並開始賺取福利。
Fascinated by bitcoin since 2017, Evariste has never stopped documenting himself on the subject. While his first interest was in trading, he now actively tries to understand all the advances centered on cryptocurrencies. As an editor, he aspires to continuously provide high-quality work that reflects the state of the sector as a whole.
自 2017 年以來,Evariste 就對比特幣著迷,從未停止記錄自己的相關主題。雖然他的首要興趣是交易,但他現在積極嘗試了解以加密貨幣為中心的所有進步。作為一名編輯,他渴望不斷提供反映整個行業狀況的高品質作品。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
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