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由於全球宏觀經濟發展推動風險資產上漲,比特幣價格今天上漲,升至 7 月以來的最高水準。
Bitcoin prices rallied to their highest since July on Friday as a combination of global macroeconomic developments fueled gains in risk-on assets.
由於全球宏觀經濟發展推動風險資產上漲,比特幣價格週五上漲至 7 月以來的最高水準。
The world’s most valuable digital currency by total market capitalization approached $66,000 this afternoon, according to Coinbase data provided by TradingView. After experiencing these gains, the cryptocurrency was trading at its loftiest value since late July.
根據 TradingView 提供的 Coinbase 數據,以總市值計算,全球最有價值的數位貨幣今天下午接近 66,000 美元。在經歷了這些上漲之後,加密貨幣的交易價格達到了 7 月下旬以來的最高水準。
Major U.S. stock indices also increased, with the S&P 500 setting a fresh, all-time high, Google Finance data indicates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite rose during the day.
谷歌財經數據顯示,美國主要股指也上漲,標普 500 指數創下新的歷史新高。道瓊工業指數和那斯達克指數當天上漲。
“With the S&P 500 putting in its ATH, and the still-strong correlation between it and BTC, it’s not a surprise that BTC finally broke through $65k again,” Tim Enneking, managing partner of Psalion, stated via emailed comments.
Psalion 管理合夥人Tim Enneking 在電子郵件評論中表示:「隨著標準普爾500 指數進入ATH,並且它與BTC 之間的相關性仍然很強,BTC 最終再次突破6.5 萬美元也就不足為奇了。 」
When explaining what drove this latest appreciation, several factors were cited by analysts, ranging from the effects of last week’s Federal Reserve rate cut to the Chinese government's recent stimulus announcement.
在解釋推動最新升值的原因時,分析師列舉了幾個因素,從上週聯準會降息的影響到中國政府最近宣布的刺激措施。
John Haar, managing director at Swan Bitcoin, spoke to these developments.
Swan Bitcoin 董事總經理約翰·哈爾 (John Haar) 談到了這些進展。
“Bitcoin’s price appears to be responding to large macro trends, such as continued US fiscal deficits, the Fed’s interest rate cuts and easier monetary policy, and China’s announcement this week of fiscal and monetary stimulus, all of which benefit global liquidity and risk assets, including Bitcoin,” he said through email.
「比特幣的價格似乎正在對宏觀趨勢做出反應,例如美國持續的財政赤字、聯準會的降息和寬鬆的貨幣政策,以及中國本周宣布的財政和貨幣刺激措施,所有這些都有利於全球流動性和風險資產,包括比特幣,」他透過電子郵件說。
Mike Marshall, senior researcher at Amberdata, also weighed in.
Amberdata 的高級研究員 Mike Marshall 也發表了觀點。
“Bitcoin’s surge past $65,000 is driven by a combination of macroeconomic shifts and institutional interest,” he asserted in an emailed message.
「比特幣飆升至 65,000 美元以上是由宏觀經濟變化和機構利益共同推動的,」他在一封電子郵件中斷言。
“The Federal Reserve’s recent 50 bps rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% to 5%, sparked optimism in speculative markets like Bitcoin,” said Marshall.
馬歇爾表示:“聯準會最近降息 50 個基點,將聯邦基金利率降至 4.75% 至 5% 的範圍,引發了比特幣等投機市場的樂觀情緒。”
“Moreover, the SEC’s approval of options for BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust opens new institutional avenues, potentially triggering a gamma squeeze that could amplify price increases as demand for options grows,” he stated, referring to the government regulator’s recent decision to authorize these new equity-based financial instruments.
他表示:「此外,美國證券交易委員會批准貝萊德iShares 比特幣信託的選擇權開闢了新的機構途徑,可能引發伽馬擠壓,隨著選擇權需求的增長,可能會放大價格上漲。」他指的是政府監管機構最近決定授權這些新股權基於金融工具。
While several experts who provided input for this article focused on macroeconomic developments, one analyst added another perspective, highlighting the performance bitcoin has traditionally generated during the months of September and October.
雖然為本文提供意見的幾位專家主要關注宏觀經濟發展,但一位分析師補充了另一種觀點,強調了比特幣傳統上在 9 月和 10 月產生的表現。
“Bitcoin’s recent climb to $65,000 is consistent with its historical performance patterns, particularly when comparing September and October,” said Eliézer Ndinga, VP, head of strategy and research at 21Shares.
21Shares 副總裁兼策略與研究主管 Eliézer Ndinga 表示:“比特幣最近攀升至 65,000 美元,與其歷史表現模式相符,特別是在比較 9 月和 10 月時。”
“Historically, September has been one of the weakest months for Bitcoin, with average monthly returns of around -6%, reflecting a period of market consolidation and lower trading volumes,” he noted.
他指出:“從歷史上看,9 月是比特幣最疲軟的月份之一,平均月回報率約為 -6%,反映了市場整合和交易量下降的時期。”
“In contrast, October has traditionally delivered much stronger performance, averaging gains of approximately 10-15% over the past decade,” Ndinga specified.
Ndinga 指出:“相比之下,10 月傳統上表現要強勁得多,過去十年平均漲幅約為 10-15%。”
“This seasonal trend, often referred to as the ‘October effect,’ is driven by increased market activity and improved sentiment heading into the final quarter of the year.”
“這種季節性趨勢通常被稱為‘十月效應’,是由市場活動增加和進入今年最後一個季度的情緒改善所推動的。”
Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.
揭露:我擁有一些比特幣、比特幣現金、萊特幣、以太幣、EOS 和 SOL。
免責聲明:info@kdj.com
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