比特幣在選舉興奮和焦慮中嗡嗡作響，達到新的高度

圍繞著美國總統大選，加密貨幣世界充滿了興奮和焦慮，比特幣的價格反映了這種高漲的能量。

The U.S. presidential election has gripped the cryptocurrency world, with Bitcoin's price fluctuating wildly in response to the unfolding political drama.

美國總統大選席捲了加密貨幣世界，比特幣的價格因不斷上演的政治戲劇而劇烈波動。

On election night, Bitcoin soared to new heights, reaching $75,000, as traders bet on the possibility of former President Donald Trump regaining political ground.

在選舉之夜，隨著交易員押注前總統唐納德·川普重新獲得政治地位的可能性，比特幣飆升至新高，達到 75,000 美元。

This record surge surpassed the previous peak of $73,797.68 set earlier this year, highlighting the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market and its responsiveness to political events.

這一創紀錄的飆升超過了今年早些時候創下的 73,797.68 美元的峰值，凸顯了加密貨幣市場的波動性及其對政治事件的反應。

The surge was particularly noteworthy considering Bitcoin had been trading relatively stable around the $70,000 mark for much of the year. However, traders reacted strongly to early election results showing Trump with significant support.

考慮到比特幣今年大部分時間都在 7 萬美元大關附近相對穩定交易，這一漲幅尤其值得注意。然而，交易員對顯示川普獲得大力支持的早期選舉結果反應強烈。

The broader crypto market also echoed this sentiment, with key players like Coinbase and MicroStrategy seeing after-hours trading growth of 3% and 4%, respectively.

更廣泛的加密貨幣市場也呼應了這種情緒，Coinbase 和 MicroStrategy 等主要參與者的盤後交易量分別增加了 3% 和 4%。

Yet, this upward move came with cautionary notes. Many analysts warned of potential turbulence as the election results unfolded.

然而，這種上升趨勢也帶來了警告。許多分析師警告稱，隨著選舉結果的公佈，可能會出現動盪。

If Vice President Kamala Harris were to take the lead, analysts predicted downward pressure on Bitcoin prices, whereas Trump’s win could potentially propel prices even higher.

如果副總統卡馬拉·哈里斯（Kamala Harris）帶頭，分析師預計比特幣價格將面臨下行壓力，而川普的勝利可能會推動價格進一步走高。

“The election is having a huge impact on crypto. Expect Bitcoin—and the entire crypto market—to be choppy over the coming days until definitive results come through,” said Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise Asset Management.

「這次選舉對加密貨幣產生了巨大影響。 Bitwise 資產管理公司研究主管 Ryan Rasmussen 表示，預計比特幣以及整個加密貨幣市場在未來幾天將出現波動，直到最終結果出來。

Rasmussen's insights illuminate the nervousness rippling through the market; he goes on to forecast, “If Trump wins, I foresee new all-time highs. If Harris wins, we could see some short-term sell-offs, but I believe the market will eventually rebound.”

拉斯穆森的見解揭示了市場中瀰漫的緊張情緒；他接著預測，「如果川普獲勝，我預計將創下歷史新高。如果哈里斯獲勝，我們可能會看到一些短期拋售，但我相信市場最終會反彈。

Historically, Bitcoin has shown resilience following U.S. elections. Looking back at the previous elections—2012, 2016, and 2020—Bitcoin reported gains of roughly 87%, 44%, and 145% within 90 days post-election.

從歷史上看，比特幣在美國大選後表現出了韌性。回顧先前的選舉（2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年），比特幣在選舉後 90 天內分別上漲了約 87%、44% 和 145%。

These gains often align with key economic events; for example, the halving of Bitcoin's supply typically coincides with election years. This year is no different, as traders anticipate potential interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve, which could provide additional momentum for Bitcoin’s price.

這些收益通常與關鍵經濟事件一致；例如，比特幣供應量減半通常與選舉年同時發生。今年也不例外，因為交易員預計聯準會可能會降息，這可能會為比特幣的價格提供額外的動力。

Several market participants noted the current price of Bitcoin, hovering below $70,000, is indicative of its fair value heading toward election day, according to analysts at CryptoQuant.

CryptoQuant 分析師表示，一些市場參與者指出，比特幣目前的價格徘徊在 7 萬美元以下，這表明其公允價值即將到來。

“A positive election outcome can spark Bitcoin to rally, setting new records,” said Julio Moreno, another CryptoQuant analyst who refrained from dismissing the volatile potential of the elections.

另一位 CryptoQuant 分析師 Julio Moreno 表示：「積極的選舉結果可能會引發比特幣反彈，創下新紀錄。」他沒有否認選舉的波動性。

James Davies, head of the Crypto Valley Exchange, expressed similar sentiments, remarking, "Everyone we’ve talked to is gearing up for potential action based on the election results. There’s anticipation of massive volatility, regardless of whether Trump or Harris emerges victoriously."

加密谷交易所負責人詹姆斯戴維斯也表達了類似的觀點，他表示：「我們採訪過的每個人都在為根據選舉結果採取的潛在行動做準備。無論川普還是哈里斯獲勝，都預計會出現大規模波動。

Adding to the complexity, this year's presidential election is viewed as pivotal for the cryptocurrency industry. Voter concerns over government spending and rising deficits, reaching $1.8 trillion, have prompted many investors to view Bitcoin as a safeguard against potential fiscal and monetary policies which may devalue the dollar.

雪上加霜的是，今年的總統大選被視為加密貨幣產業的關鍵。選民對政府支出和赤字上升（達到 1.8 兆美元）的擔憂促使許多投資者將比特幣視為防範可能導緻美元貶值的潛在財政和貨幣政策的保障措施。

Investors are particularly alert due to the perceived risks associated with Harris's policies, regarded by some as potentially antagonistic to the crypto industry. Conversely, many see Trump as more favorable, having publicly courted the crypto sector throughout his campaign.

由於與哈里斯政策相關的已知風險，投資者特別警惕，有些人認為這些政策可能與加密產業相反。相反，許多人認為川普更受歡迎，因為他在競選期間公開向加密貨幣行業示好。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin's market activity reflected this uncertainty. Just days before the election, the token witnessed fluctuations with prices dipping close to $67,000, before bouncing back to the $70,500 range. This rollercoaster of trading patterns is symptomatic of the anxiety across financial markets as traders awaited election results.

同時，比特幣的市場活動也反映了這種不確定性。就在選舉前幾天，該代幣出現波動，價格跌至接近 67,000 美元，然後反彈至 70,500 美元區間。這種過山車般的交易模式反映了交易者等待選舉結果時整個金融市場的焦慮情緒。

Interestingly, there’s also been public chatter around election-related betting markets affecting Bitcoin's movement. The crypto is often treated like digital gold, attracting retail investors who are not just hedging against inflation but also taking part alongside traditional assets like gold during these unpredictable times.

有趣的是，民眾對影響比特幣走勢的選舉相關博彩市場也存在討論。加密貨幣通常被視為數位黃金，吸引了散戶投資者，他們不僅對沖通膨，而且在這個不可預測的時期與黃金等傳統資產一起參與。

Historical patterns suggest Bitcoin’s post-election returns could be influenced significantly by the volatility experienced during the lead-up to the polls. Therefore, traders approach this period with optimism tempered with caution.

歷史模式表明，比特幣的選舉後回報可能會受到投票前經歷的波動的顯著影響。因此，交易者以樂觀但謹慎的態度對待這段時期。

With less than 24 hours until results start trickling in, the environment is charged with uncertainty yet filled with hope. Each decision by the electorate could cascade through financial markets, impacting everything from Bitcoin’s valuation to the broader crypto ecosystem. The next few days will be defining not just for Bitcoin, but for cryptos nationwide, as political winds continue to shift.

距離結果開始流出還有不到 24 小時，環境充滿不確定性，但也充滿希望。選民的每項決定都可能影響金融市場，影響從比特幣估值到更廣泛的加密生態系統的方方面面。隨著政治風向的不斷轉變，未來幾天不僅會影響比特幣，也會影響全國的加密貨幣。

Many industry experts assert vigilance will be necessary throughout this electoral process, predicting short-term swings as sentiment evolves based on the outcome. Whether it is Trump or Harris, indicators suggest the election could serve as either a catapult or yet another hurdle for the cryptocurrency, marking yet another chapter in the volatile saga of Bitcoin's relationship with U.S. politics.

許多行業專家聲稱，在整個選舉過程中必須保持警惕，並預測隨著情緒根據結果變化而出現短期波動。無論是川普還是哈里斯，跡象顯示這次選舉可能成為加密貨幣的彈射器或另一個障礙，標誌著比特幣與美國政治關係的動盪傳奇又掀開了新的篇章。