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距離比特幣 (BTC) 月度價格圖表 18 個月以來首次完成看漲吞沒形態還有不到 48 小時。
Bitcoin’s BTC monthly price chart is less than 48 hours away from completing a bullish engulfing pattern for the first time in more than 18 months.
比特幣的 BTC 月度價格圖表距離完成看漲吞沒形態還有不到 48 小時,這是 18 個多月以來首次。
As it stands, BTC’s 1-month candle began on Sept. 11 at $44,663. Since then, Bitcoin has rallied to a high of $73,633 before a local pullback to $65,679.
目前來看,BTC 1 個月蠟燭圖始於 9 月 11 日,售價為 44,663 美元。此後,比特幣上漲至 73,633 美元的高點,然後局部回調至 65,679 美元。
Bitcoin 1-month price chart. Source: TradingView
比特幣 1 個月價格圖表。來源:TradingView
This recent price action, if sustained until the monthly candle close, would mark a strong bullish reversal from the lower price wick formed in August.
最近的價格走勢如果持續到月度蠟燭圖收盤,將標誌著 8 月形成的較低價格燈芯的強勁看漲逆轉。
Moreover, this 1-month engulfing pattern could also mark the local bear market bottom, considering that the last time this occurred was in January 2023, signaling the bear market low of 2022.
此外,考慮到上次發生這種情況是在 2023 年 1 月,這標誌著 2022 年熊市低點,這一 1 個月吞沒模式也可能標誌著當地熊市底部。
Bitcoin OI retests $35B as funding rate stays flat
資金費率持平,比特幣 OI 重新測試 $35B
After a local bottom at $52,150 on Sept. 6, Bitcoin’s parabolic uptrend entailed breaking past the prior lower-high pattern to facilitate a higher-high trend.
在 9 月 6 日觸及 52,150 美元的局部底部後,比特幣的拋物線上升趨勢需要突破先前較低的高點模式,以促進更高高點的趨勢。
In the meantime, Bitcoin open interest (OI) has increased rapidly, reaching as high as $35 billion on Sept. 27. This is on par with previous OI tops in 2024, witnessed during February and July 2024.
同時,比特幣未平倉合約 (OI) 迅速增加,在 9 月 27 日達到 350 億美元。
Bitcoin funding rate and open interest chart. Source: Velo.data
比特幣融資利率和未平倉合約圖表。資料來源:Velo.data
While open interest indicates that the futures market remains heavily involved in dictating price movement, a comparatively flat funding rate indicates perpetual traders are still “indecisive.”
雖然未平倉合約顯示期貨市場仍然嚴重參與決定價格走勢,但相對平坦的融資利率表明永續交易者仍然「猶豫不決」。
Adam, a popular independent trader, highlights this particular instance and points out another key factor of spot orderbook depth being skewed to the sell side.
Adam 是一位受歡迎的獨立交易員,他強調了這一特殊情況,並指出了現貨訂單深度偏向賣方的另一個關鍵因素。
Bitcoin spot orderbook negative depth by Adam. Source: X.com
Adam 的比特幣現貨訂單負深度。來源:X.com
In other words, spot traders are currently selling aggressively into $66K resistance.
換句話說,現貨交易商目前正在向 6.6 萬美元阻力位大舉拋售。
Thus, BTC's chances of downside market volatility remain high in the coming week.
因此,未來一週比特幣市場波動下行的可能性仍然很高。
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