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比特幣[BTC]整個月經歷了強勁的上漲勢頭。從歷史上看,九月與看跌趨勢有關。
Bitcoin [BTC] has experienced a strong upward momentum throughout the month. Historically, September is associated with a bearish trend. However, this month has seen a dramatic shift with BTC making higher lows.
比特幣[BTC]整個月經歷了強勁的上漲勢頭。從歷史上看,九月與看跌趨勢有關。然而,本月出現了戲劇性的轉變,比特幣創下了更高的低點。
In fact, at the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $65,530. This marked a 10.52% increase on monthly charts with the extension of the uptrend by a 4.16% surge over the past week.
事實上,在撰寫本文時,比特幣的交易價格為 65,530 美元。這標誌著月度圖表上的上漲 10.52%,過去一周上漲趨勢擴大了 4.16%。
However, the last 24 hours have seen a minor correction with Bitcoin declining by 0.46%.
然而,過去 24 小時比特幣出現小幅回調,下跌 0.46%。
Hence, the current market conditions have left analysts talking over Bitcoin’s trajectory. One of them is the popular crypto analyst Caleb Franzen who suggested that a bullish trend is set to continue citing bullish RSI divergence.
因此,當前的市場狀況讓分析師開始討論比特幣的發展軌跡。其中之一是受歡迎的加密貨幣分析師 Caleb Franzen,他認為看漲趨勢將持續,理由是 RSI 看漲背離。
What market sentiment says
市場情緒怎麼說
In his analysis, Franzen Cited bullish RSI to argue that, the bulls are dominating the market.
Franzen 在他的分析中引用了看漲的 RSI 來論證,多頭正在主導市場。
Source: X
來源:X
According to the analyst, RSI has not formed a bearish RSI divergence on daily charts. However, the RSI is continuing to confirm the bullish trend off the lows. Therefore, it has been confirming the bullish RSI divergence.
分析師表示,RSI 在日線圖上尚未形成看跌 RSI 背離。然而,RSI 繼續確認脫離低點的看漲趨勢。因此,RSI 的看漲背離得到了證實。
In context, the fact that there is no bearish divergence implies that the price increase is supported by momentum and there’s no significant sign of a reversal at this time.
在上下文中,不存在看跌背離的事實意味著價格上漲受到動力的支持,目前沒有明顯的逆轉跡象。
When a bearish RSI divergence occurs, it indicates a weakening upward momentum and could suggest that a price correction is imminent.
當 RSI 出現看跌背離時,表示上行勢頭減弱,並可能表明價格調整即將到來。
Thus, although BTC might have made lower lows recently, the RSI is making higher lows indicating that momentum is building despite lower prices.
因此,儘管 BTC 最近可能創下了更低的低點,但 RSI 卻創下了更高的低點,表明儘管價格較低,但勢頭正在增強。
Usually, a bullish RSI divergence suggests that selling pressure is weakening and buying interest is growing leading to a further upside.
通常,看漲 RSI 背離表示拋售壓力正在減弱,而買盤興趣正在增長,從而導致進一步上漲。
What BTC charts say
BTC 圖表說明了什麼
As observed by Frazen, Bitcoin is enjoying favorable market conditions. Therefore, these market conditions could set BTC for further gains on price charts.
正如 Frazen 觀察到的那樣,比特幣正享受著有利的市場條件。因此,這些市場狀況可能會讓比特幣在價格圖表上進一步上漲。
Source: Cryptoquant
來源:Cryptoquant
For example, the Exchange whale ratio has declined from a high of 0.68 to 0.511 at press time. This decline suggests that whales are moving their BTC off exchanges into private wallets.
例如,截至發稿時,交易所鯨魚比率已從高點 0.68 下降至 0.511。這種下降表明鯨魚正在將他們的比特幣從交易所轉移到私人錢包。
Such market behavior is a bullish signal indicating that large holders have no plan to sell in the short term.
這種市場行為是一個看漲訊號,表示大戶短期內沒有拋售計畫。
Source: Cryptoquant
來源:Cryptoquant
Additionally, Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized profit/loss (NUPL) has risen from a low of 0.4 to 0.51 over the past week. As NUPL rises, it indicates that investors are seeing profits.
此外,在過去一周,比特幣的未實現淨損益(NUPL)已從 0.4 的低點上升至 0.51。隨著 NUPL 的上升,表明投資者正在看到利潤。
This usually occurs during the market bullish phase as prices increase exceeding the purchasing value. Therefore, it results in increased optimism as participants feel more confident in the market’s future potential, expecting further price gains.
這通常發生在市場看漲階段,因為價格上漲超過購買價值。因此,隨著參與者對市場未來潛力更有信心,預期價格進一步上漲,樂觀情緒增強。
Source: Santiment
資料來源:Santiment
Finally, Bitcoin’s DyDx exchange funding rate has remained positive over the past week. A positive DyDx exchange funding rate suggests long position holders are paying those taking shorts to hold their position.
最後,比特幣的 DyDx 匯率融資利率在過去一周一直保持正值。 DyDx 外匯融資利率為正值表示多頭部位持有者正在向空頭部位持有者支付費用以維持其頭寸。
Is your portfolio green? Check out the BTC Profit Calculator
您的投資組合是綠色的嗎?查看 BTC 利潤計算器
In such a market situation, investors are more inclined to take long positions anticipating prices to rise.
在這種市場情況下,投資者更傾向於持有多頭頭寸,預期價格上漲。
Simply put, Bitcoin is experiencing a strong upward momentum will bulls dominating the market. Therefore, in these conditions, BTC will make further gains on price charts by reclaiming the $66500 resistance level in the short term.
簡而言之,比特幣正在經歷強勁的上漲勢頭,多頭將主導市場。因此,在這種情況下,BTC 將在短期內收復 66,500 美元阻力位,從而在價格圖表上進一步上漲。
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