|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
儘管處於傳統的看跌時期,但比特幣 (BTC) 本月的 66,072.84 美元即將創下 9 月份有史以來最好的價格,同時散戶回歸的跡像也開始出現。
Bitcoin BTC $66,072.84 is headed for its best September ever, despite the period being traditionally bearish, while signs of retail returning are starting to emerge.
比特幣 BTC 66,072.84 美元將迎來有史以來最好的 9 月份,儘管這個時期傳統上看跌,但散戶回歸的跡象開始出現。
Previously, the highest gain observed in September was a 6% rally back in 2016.
此前,9 月觀察到的最高漲幅是 2016 年的 6%。
BTC
比特幣
$66,072.84
$66,072.84
Bitcoin monthly returns(%) chart year over year. Source: CoinGlass
比特幣月回報率(%)同比圖表。來源:CoinGlass
Bitcoin has also witnessed gains during each month in Q4, whenever the last month of Q3 has been bullish. 2015, 2016, and 2023 are all prime examples of a potential bullish quarter ahead in 2024.
每當第三季最後一個月看漲時,比特幣在第四季的每個月也都出現上漲。 2015 年、2016 年和 2023 年都是 2024 年潛在看漲季度的典型例子。
Multiple Bitcoin metrics flip bullish
多個比特幣指標轉為看漲
In an X post, Cryptquant’s Head of Research Julio Moreno highlighted that the Coinbase premium reached a two-week high on Sept. 26, as prices pushed past the $65,000 range.
Cryptquant 的研究主管 Julio Moreno 在 X 貼文中強調,隨著價格突破 65,000 美元的區間,Coinbase 溢價在 9 月 26 日達到兩週高點。
Bitcoin: Coinbase Premium index chart. Source: CryptoQuant
比特幣:Coinbase Premium 指數圖。來源:CryptoQuant
The Coinbase premium is often used as an index of US retail investor demand — the higher the value, the more buying pressure. Moreover, the Coinbase premium return currently coincides with an increase in spot Bitcoin ETFs daily inflows.
Coinbase 溢價通常被用作美國散戶投資者需求的指數——價值越高,購買壓力越大。此外,Coinbase 溢價回報目前與現貨比特幣 ETF 每日流入量的增加同時發生。
As reported by Cointelegraph, total aggregated inflows for the 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs were $365.7 million on Sept. 26, as BTC price reached new monthly highs.
根據 Cointelegraph 報道,9 月 26 日,隨著 BTC 價格創下月度新高,11 隻現貨比特幣 ETF 的總資金流入達到 3.657 億美元。
This suggests that institutional investors are slowly turning their attention toward Bitcoin once again after favorable interest rate cuts were announced earlier this month.
這表明,在本月稍早宣布有利的降息之後,機構投資者正在慢慢地將注意力再次轉向比特幣。
Meanwhile, the spot cumulative volume delta across all exchanges also reached a new monthly high, with the net buy side of spot volumes dominating the chart.
同時,各交易所的現貨累計交易量Delta也創出月度新高,現貨交易量的淨買入方在圖表中佔據主導地位。
Bitcoin spot cumulative volume delta. Source: Glassnode
比特幣現貨累計交易量增量。來源:Glassnode
This could be another indication of retail investors coming back, but more evidence is needed to confirm the trend.
這可能是散戶回歸的另一個跡象,但需要更多證據來證實這一趨勢。
Bitcoin forms first “HTF” bull pattern in 5 months
比特幣形成 5 個月來首個「HTF」牛市模式
On Sept. 23, Cointelegraph highlighted that Bitcoin was attempting to clear $65,000 to create a new higher high pattern. Three days later, BTC managed to close a daily candle above the previous resistance at a higher time frame, or HTF, which broke a five-month bear trend.
9 月 23 日,Cointelegraph 強調,比特幣正試圖突破 65,000 美元以創造新的更高高點。三天后,BTC 成功收盤,收盤價高於先前阻力位(HTF),打破了五個月的熊市趨勢。
Related: Q4 crypto rally chances ‘exceptionally high,’ fueled by BTC $65K breakout
相關:在 BTC 突破 6.5 萬美元的推動下,第四季度加密貨幣反彈的可能性“異常高”
As illustrated in the chart, the previous higher low (HL) and lower low (LL) pattern was broken after Bitcoin closed a daily candle above the HTF resistance at $65,000. An HTF breakout strongly indicates a potential new long-term trend forming on the chart.
如圖所示,比特幣在 HTF 阻力位 65,000 美元上方收盤後,先前的較高低點 (HL) 和較低低點 (LL) 模式被打破。 HTF 突破強烈表明圖表上潛在的新長期趨勢正在形成。
Bitcoin 1-day chart. Source: TradingView
比特幣 1 日圖表。來源:TradingView
It is important to note that the current HH and HL pattern could still witness a pullback going forward, but that will be considered a bullish trend swing low.
值得注意的是,目前的 HH 和 HL 形態未來仍可能出現回調,但這將被視為看漲趨勢擺動低點。
Thus, the key resistance levels to watch are now $68,100 and $71,500, which BTC/USD failed to overcome in the summer.
因此,現在值得關注的關鍵阻力位是 68,100 美元和 71,500 美元,比特幣/美元在夏季未能克服這些阻力位。
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做決定時應自行研究。
Disclaimer:info@kdj.com
The information provided is not trading advice. kdj.com does not assume any responsibility for any investments made based on the information provided in this article. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and it is highly recommended that you invest with caution after thorough research!
If you believe that the content used on this website infringes your copyright, please contact us immediately (info@kdj.com) and we will delete it promptly.
-
- 鯨魚警告稱,到 2025 年,Rexas Finance (RXS) 可能會取代 Tron (TRX) 成為強有力的競爭者
- 2024-09-28 02:15:15
- 加密貨幣場景正在以驚人的速度發展,隨之而來的進步和變化也來自最不可能的地方。
-
- 2023-2024 年 Polkadot (DOT) 價格預測:DOT 很快就會達到 10 美元嗎?
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- Polkadot [DOT] 目前正在經歷穩定的價格反彈,連續幾週上漲。過去兩週,DOT 上漲了 14.2%,光是過去一周就上漲了 11%。
-
- 解除比特幣禁令幾個月後,玻利維亞虛擬資產交易量激增 100%
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- 玻利維亞央行 BCB 表示,2024 年 7 月至 9 月期間,數位資產交易的平均每月虛擬交易量翻了一番。
-
- 這個傢伙在短短 15 天內將 1,331 美元變成了 340 萬美元,回報率為 2,554 倍!
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- 9 月 10 日,他花費 9.8 $SOL($1,331) 購買了 3870 萬美元 MOODENG,現在價值超過 340 萬美元!
-
- 2024 年 10 月加密貨幣市場可望迎來實質成長機會
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- 三種山寨幣因其潛在的可觀回報而引起了分析師的關注。從攀升至新高度的知名資產到令人驚訝的人工智慧代幣,本文將深入探討那些即將掀起波瀾並帶來可觀利潤的代幣。
-
- RCO Finance (RCOF):Meme 幣殺手,到 2025 年預計將實現 3,500% 的回報
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- Memecoin 的價格一直很不穩定,常常難以預測。狗狗幣(DOGE),是第一個以笑話開頭的迷因幣
-
- CYBRO 預售達到 250 萬美元里程碑:百萬分之一的投資機會
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- CYBRO 正在吸引加密鯨魚的注意,其獨家代幣預售迅速飆升至 250 萬美元以上。
-
- CYBRO 預售突破 250 萬美元:百萬分之一的 DeFi 投資機會
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- CYBRO 正在吸引加密鯨魚的注意,其獨家代幣預售迅速飆升至 250 萬美元以上。這個尖端的 DeFi 平台為投資者提供了無與倫比的機會,可以在任何市場條件下最大化收益。
-
- 以太幣、Solana 和 Cutoshi:下一個值得關注的大型加密貨幣項目
- 2024-09-28 02:15:01
- 隨著加密貨幣市場的發展,投資者不斷尋找數位資產的下一個巨大機會。以太坊、Solana 和新興的 Cutoshi 這三個項目因其在未來幾年推動資本顯著增長的潛力而脫穎而出。