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週四,BTC/USD 貨幣對創下更高的高點,突破了 65,000 美元的阻力位。週五到目前為止,每日確認均位於阻力位上方
The BTC/USD pair saw a higher high on Thursday, breaking through the $65,000 resistance. Friday is so far showing a daily confirmation above the resistance, which, should this be successful, will provide the platform for the next leg up towards the major $70,000 resistance.
BTC/美元貨幣對週四創下更高高點,突破了 65,000 美元的阻力位。週五到目前為止,每日確認均在阻力位之上,如果成功的話,將為下一步上漲至 70,000 美元的主要阻力位提供平台。
Greed is back
貪婪又回來了
The bull market is back. Sentiment is tipping back to Greed across the market, as displayed by the Fear and Greed Index. Only last month, this indicator was deep in the Fear, at a score of 30. What a difference a few weeks makes.
牛市又回來了。正如恐懼和貪婪指數所示,整個市場的情緒正在回歸貪婪。就在上個月,這項指標還處於深度恐懼之中,得分為 30。
The U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs are buying again, with only one net outflow day in the last ten. Thursday’s net inflow was the biggest since July, at $365.7 million, as institutional buyers are perhaps rushing in to lay their bets before the $BTC price takes off again.
美國現貨比特幣ETF再次買入,近十日僅有一天出現淨流出。週四的淨流入是自 7 月以來最大的,達到 3.657 億美元,因為機構買家可能會在 BTC 價格再次上漲之前湧入進行押注。
M2 money supply breaks out
M2貨幣供給量爆發
Looking further out, macro analyst Raoul Pal retweeted a Julien Bittel post on X, showing that the Global M2 money supply has broken out. Both analysts are confident that this indicator will push crypto much higher. Bittel commented on his and Pal’s “Everything Code” view:
展望更遠,宏觀分析師 Raoul Pal 在 X 上轉發了 Julien Bittel 的帖子,顯示全球 M2 貨幣供應量已經突破。兩位分析師都相信該指標將推動加密貨幣走高。 Bittel 評論了他和 Pal 的“Everything Code”觀點:
“And if our hypothesis around The Everything Code is correct, this is still going much, much higher…”
“如果我們關於一切代碼的假設是正確的,那麼這個數字仍然會高得多……”
Short term resistances are now support
短期阻力現為支撐
In the short term time frame, $BTC is indeed heading higher. Both horizontal levels at $63,600, and $65,000, which were resistances on Thursday, are now supports on Friday.
在短期內,BTC 確實正在走高。 63,600 美元和 65,000 美元的水平水平在周四是阻力位,但現在在周五成為支撐位。
The price is potentially heading back to the top of the channel, which it could theoretically meet at $68,000 through to $70,000. The next Fibonacci level for this move would be at the 1.618, at $72,750.
價格有可能回到通道頂部,理論上可能達到 68,000 美元至 70,000 美元。這一走勢的下一個斐波那契水準將是 1.618,即 72,750 美元。
Fibonacci levels suggest $102,000 and then $155,000
斐波那契水準建議為 102,000 美元,然後為 155,000 美元
The weekly chart for $BTC shows a much clearer macro picture for the king of the cryptocurrencies. The price is currently surpassing the tops of the candle bodies for the last bull cycle in 2021, and the top of the bull flag is now very close.
BTC 美元的周線圖顯示了加密貨幣之王更清晰的宏觀圖景。目前價格已超過 2021 年最後一個牛市週期的蠟燭體頂部,牛旗頂部現在非常接近。
It can be seen how accurate the Fibonacci levels are for the whole of this Bitcoin bull cycle. The 0.786 Fibonacci is now support, and the next major level (1.618) is way up above at $102,000. Also, if one measures the move for the bull flag, this gives a target of just over $100,000.
可以看出斐波那契水平對於整個比特幣牛市週期來說是多麼準確。 0.786 斐波那契現在是支撐位,下一個主要水準 (1.618) 遠高於 102,000 美元。此外,如果衡量牛旗的走勢,目標價將略高於 10 萬美元。
Whichever way one looks at this, things do look very promising for Bitcoin going forward. Fibonacci levels have predicted the major moves for Bitcoin throughout its previous bull cycles, so it might be expected that this will continue to be the case. If $100,000 is achieved, the next big Fibonacci level (2.618) is at $155,000.
無論從哪個角度來看,比特幣的未來發展確實非常有希望。斐波那契水平預測了比特幣在先前牛市週期中的主要走勢,因此預計這種情況將持續下去。如果達到 100,000 美元,下一個斐波那契大水準 (2.618) 為 155,000 美元。
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