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比特幣 (BTC) 在周五重新測試 66,000 美元後,正在逼近 70,000 美元的里程碑。此前,聯準會首選通膨指標——核心PCE指數(個人消費支出)的數據低於預期。
Bitcoin (BTC) price is nearing the $70,000 milestone after retesting the $66,000 support on Friday. This follows a softer-than-expected reading on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure, the Core PCE Index (Personal Consumption Expenditures). This index tracks inflation while excluding the more volatile components, such as food and energy prices.
比特幣 (BTC) 價格在周五重新測試 66,000 美元支撐位後,已接近 70,000 美元里程碑。此前,聯準會首選通膨指標核心PCE指數(個人消費支出)的讀數低於預期。該指數追蹤通貨膨脹,同時排除食品和能源價格等波動較大的成分。
The August Core PCE index showed a 2.6% year-on-year increase, slightly below the anticipated 2.7%. This lower-than-expected inflation figure lifted market sentiment, with speculators factoring in the possibility of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Federal Reserve in November.
8月核心PCE指數年增2.6%,略低於預期的2.7%。低於預期的通膨數據提振了市場情緒,投機者考慮到聯準會 11 月降息 50 個基點 (bps) 的可能性。
According to QCP Capital, a trading firm, the labor market updates will be crucial in determining the market’s direction. In a weekend report from 28 September, QCP highlighted the upcoming labor market indicators, including JOLTs, ADP, and the U.S. unemployment rate.
貿易公司 QCP Capital 表示,勞動市場的更新對於確定市場方向至關重要。在 9 月 28 日的周末報告中,QCP 強調了即將到來的勞動力市場指標,包括 JOLT、ADP 和美國失業率。
The most anticipated updates are the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTs), and the U.S. employment report, scheduled for release on 1 and 4 November, respectively. QCP projects that strong labor metrics could strengthen the case for a 50bps rate cut in November, which would likely boost risk assets.
最令人期待的更新是職缺和勞動力流動調查 (JOLT) 以及美國就業報告,分別定於 11 月 1 日和 4 日發布。 QCP 預計,強勁的勞動力指標可能會強化 11 月降息 50 個基點的理由,這可能會提振風險資產。
If this pans out, Bitcoin could continue its upward trajectory toward $70,000, especially after reclaiming its 200-day moving average (MA).
如果這一情況成功,比特幣可能會繼續上漲至 70,000 美元,特別是在收復 200 日移動平均線 (MA) 之後。
When analyzing Ethereum, it is first critical to compare its performance to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC). The ETH/BTC pair has fallen below the 0.04 barrier, indicating a shift in viewpoint. Historically, when ETH/BTC falls, it tends to bottom within 8-10 weeks.
在分析以太坊時,首先將其性能與比特幣(ETH/BTC)進行比較至關重要。 ETH/BTC 貨幣對已跌破 0.04 關口,顯示觀點發生轉變。從歷史上看,當 ETH/BTC 下跌時,它往往會在 8-10 週內觸底。
However, market analyst Benjamin Cowen warns of conflicting signals. For example, ETH/BTC previously bottomed when the Federal Reserve shifted from quantitative tightening (QT) to quantitative easing (QE), a move that has yet to occur.
然而,市場分析師本傑明·考恩警告稱,訊號可能相互矛盾。例如,當聯準會從量化緊縮(QT)轉向量化寬鬆(QE)時,ETH/BTC 曾經觸底,但這項舉措尚未發生。
Despite these mixed signals, the market rally could also benefit Ethereum (ETH), which has outperformed Bitcoin since the Fed’s policy shift. A further macroeconomic tailwind could extend ETH’s strong recovery. Market analyst Benjamin Cowen suggests ETH could reach the $3,000 psychological level. Presently, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at $2,677 after a substantial 10% rally over the past week.
儘管存在這些混雜的訊號,市場反彈也可能有利於以太幣(ETH),自聯準會政策轉變以來,以太幣的表現優於比特幣。宏觀經濟的進一步推動可能會延續 ETH 的強勁復甦。市場分析師 Benjamin Cowen 認為 ETH 可能會達到 3,000 美元的心理水準。在過去一周大幅上漲 10% 後,目前以太坊 (ETH) 的交易價格為 2,677 美元。
Meanwhile, U.S. investors have shown renewed interest in top digital assets. BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw $1.11 billion in inflows this week, the largest since 19 July. ETH ETFs also attracted $84.6 million, marking the highest weekly inflows since 9 August. If this trend persists, the $70,000 BTC and $3,000 ETH price targets could be within reach.
同時,美國投資者對頂級數位資產重新表現出了興趣。 BTC 交易所交易基金 (ETF) 本週流入 11.1 億美元,為 7 月 19 日以來最大流入量。 ETH ETF 也吸引了 8,460 萬美元,創下 8 月 9 日以來的最高週流入量。如果這種趨勢持續下去,70,000 美元的 BTC 和 3,000 美元的 ETH 目標價可能是可以實現的。
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