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自上週五觸及 66,000 美元以來,比特幣 (BTC) 一直保持在該價格區域,在過去一天沒有重大價格波動。
Bitcoin (BTC) price has stalled in the $65,000 to $66,000 range following a fast price rally over the last week. As BTC price approached the $68,000 resistance, buying pressure slowed down, indicating a possible market top. However, a CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted another market condition that could put Bitcoin in a “high-risk” zone.
繼上週價格快速上漲後,比特幣 (BTC) 價格已停滯在 65,000 美元至 66,000 美元區間。隨著 BTC 價格接近 68,000 美元阻力位,買盤壓力放緩,表明市場可能見頂。然而,一位 CryptoQuant 分析師強調了另一種可能將比特幣置於「高風險」區域的市場狀況。
Bitcoin market in ‘high-risk’ zone as open interest hits $19B
未平倉合約觸及 $19B,比特幣市場處於「高風險」區域
In a Saturday “Quicktake” post on CryptoQuant, an analyst under the username maartunn shared a concerning market condition, urging traders to avoid opening any new long positions. Maartunn’s analysis is based on the high level of Open Interest in the BTC market, which currently stands at $19.1 billion.
在 CryptoQuant 上週六的“Quicktake”帖子中,一位用戶名為 maartunn 的分析師分享了令人擔憂的市場狀況,敦促交易者避免開設任何新的多頭部位。 Maartunn 的分析是基於 BTC 市場的高水準未平倉合約,目前未平倉合約金額為 191 億美元。
Open Interest measures the total value of outstanding contracts on an asset. A high Open Interest indicates increased speculative activity by traders, which often involves a leveraged position. In simpler terms, many traders are currently speculating on Bitcoin’s future price movements.
未平倉合約衡量資產未平倉合約的總價值。高未平倉量表示交易者的投機活動增加,這通常涉及槓桿部位。簡而言之,許多交易者目前正在猜測比特幣未來的價格走勢。
While an elevated Open Interest shows increased market interest, it also puts BTC in a fragile position as most trading positions are usually opened with leverage. According to maartunn, Bitcoin’s Open Interest has crossed the $18 billion mark six times since March 2024.
雖然未平倉量增加表明市場興趣增加,但這也使 BTC 處於脆弱的境地,因為大多數交易頭寸通常都是透過槓桿開倉的。據 maartunn 稱,自 2024 年 3 月以來,比特幣的未平倉合約已六次突破 180 億美元大關。
Each time, Bitcoin reached a local peak price, suggesting that as Open Interest rose, BTC price temporarily rallied before experiencing a significant pullback. With Bitcoin’s Open Interest crossing $18 billion once again, maartunn advises traders against taking any long positions.
每次,比特幣價格都會達到局部峰值,這表明隨著未平倉量的增加,比特幣價格會暫時上漲,然後大幅回調。隨著比特幣的未平倉合約再次突破 180 億美元,maartunn 建議交易者不要持有任何多頭部位。
This means that traders should not speculate on BTC price going higher as the market conditions are not favorable for such trades. If the majority of traders are speculating on Bitcoin price rising, a market top could be forming.
這意味著交易者不應投機比特幣價格上漲,因為市場條件不利於此類交易。如果大多數交易者都猜測比特幣價格上漲,那麼市場頂部可能正在形成。
However, if the market does not correct and continues to push BTC price higher, a large amount of liquidation can induce massive selling pressure, which could rapidly drive BTC’s price down. Therefore, investors are advised to wait for clearer signals before engaging in the market.
然而,如果市場不回調,繼續推高BTC價格,大量爆倉會引發巨大的拋售壓力,導致BTC價格迅速下跌。因此,建議投資人等待更明確的訊號後再入市。
BTC in reaccumulation phase A separate analysis by crypto analyst Rekt Capital suggests that Bitcoin is now in a reaccumulation range. This indicates that the crypto market leader is currently consolidating following its recent price rally.
比特幣處於重新累積階段加密貨幣分析師 Rekt Capital 的另一項分析表明,比特幣目前處於重新累積區間。這表明加密貨幣市場的領導者在最近的價格上漲之後目前正在整合。
This reaccumulation is often a pause before BTC resumes its bullish trajectory. Hence, this reaccumulation likely presents investors with an opportunity for Bitcoin acquisition in anticipation of a price rise.
在比特幣恢復其看漲軌跡之前,這種重新累積通常是一個暫停。因此,這種重新累積可能為投資者提供了因預期價格上漲而購買比特幣的機會。
At press time, Bitcoin continues to trade at $65,808, down 0.40% in the last day. Performances on larger time frames remain positive with gains of 4.28% and 11.43% in the last seven and thirty days, respectively. BTC still ranks as the largest digital asset with a market cap of $1.3 billion and a market dominance of 56.5%.
截至發稿,比特幣繼續交易於 65,808 美元,較前一交易日下跌 0.40%。較大時間範圍內的表現仍樂觀,過去 7 天和 30 天分別上漲 4.28% 和 11.43%。 BTC 仍以 13 億美元的市值和 56.5% 的市場主導地位位居第一。
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