分析師：比特幣（BTC）可能已進入市場週期階段，即將大幅上漲

一位分析了比特幣今年減半前修正的分析師表示，比特幣可能已經進入了市場週期階段，即將大幅上漲。

A crypto analyst who correctly predicted Bitcoin’s pre-halving correction earlier this year now believes that BTC may be entering a market cycle phase characterized by steep rallies.

一位在今年稍早正確預測了比特幣減半前修正的加密貨幣分析師現在認為，比特幣可能正在進入一個以大幅上漲為特徵的市場週期階段。

The analyst, known as Rekt Capital, has 100,000 subscribers on YouTube. He tells them that Bitcoin breaking above the resistance zone formed around the 2021 cycle high of just below the $70,000 price point is “essentially the very first signal to kickstarting the parabolic phase.”

這位名為 Rekt Capital 的分析師在 YouTube 上擁有 10 萬訂閱者。他告訴他們，比特幣突破 2021 年周期高點（略低於 70,000 美元的價格點）附近形成的阻力區「本質上是啟動拋物線階段的第一個訊號」。

“We see the analogous level like this across cycles. In 2020 and 2021 this was the level: $19,000, roughly speaking $20,000. That was the old all-time high resistance.

「我們在各個週期中都看到了類似的水平。 2020 年和 2021 年的水準是：19,000 美元，大致上是 20,000 美元。那是舊的歷史最高阻力。

Here in this cycle, the analogous level was $69,000. And in the previous cycle of 2017 it was of course a little bit lower than that – $1,200 approximately speaking.

在本週期中，類似水準為 69,000 美元。 2017 年的上一個週期當然比這個要低一些——大約是 1,200 美元。

And so in each of these cycles breaking the old all-time high major resistance, that first monthly candle is the very early sign of that parabolic phase of the cycle beginning.”

因此，在每個突破舊的歷史最高主要阻力的周期中，第一個月度蠟燭是周期開始的拋物線階段的早期跡象。

According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin could experience several months of upside based on historical precedent.

根據 Rekt Capital 的說法，根據歷史先例，比特幣可能會經歷幾個月的上漲。

“We’ve seen in the past that we can see quite a few monthly candles produced in the coming months. So in this cycle over here [2017] it was… nine months worth of upside.

「我們過去已經看到，未來幾個月我們可以看到每月生產相當多的蠟燭。因此，在[2017]這個週期中，這是…九個月的上漲空間。

In this cycle in 2020/2021… we saw nine months of upside…

在 2020/2021 年的這個週期中…我們看到了九個月的上漲…

So if we’re talking about nine months of upside, 12 months of upside this is month one [November of 2024] out of a possible nine at the least or a possible 12 at most.”

因此，如果我們談論的是 9 個月的上漲空間，那麼這就是 [2024 年 11 月] 12 個月的上漲空間，至少可能是 9 個月，最多可能是 12 個月。

On when Bitcoin could hit the cycle peak, Rekt Capital says,

關於比特幣何時能達到週期峰值，Rekt Capital 表示：

“We’re going to see this parabolic upside take place deep into 2025. And then we’re going to have to consider a bear market coming after 2025, the majority of which is going to play out in 2026.”

“我們將看到這種拋物線式的上漲將持續到 2025 年。然後我們將不得不考慮 2025 年之後的熊市，其中大部分將在 2026 年結束。”

Bitcoin is trading at $96,718 at time of writing.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 96,718 美元。